Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 100 | 73.0¢ | $61 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 91 | 30.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 76.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 30 | 27.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| brra0x9435…91fd | No | 1 | 71.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.