Market · 9 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 134 | 89.2¢ | $122 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | No | 95 | 84.5¢ | $86 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 85 | 90.0¢ | $76 | — |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 60 | 80.8¢ | $54 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 330 | 10.1¢ | $31 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | No | 20 | 85.5¢ | $18 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 16 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 15 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 10 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | 2 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
| boempie0xb678…299e | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.