Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 11,392 | 83.5¢ | $9.56K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,040 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 2,713 | 68.1¢ | $2.28K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 1,429 | 90.8¢ | $1.2K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| bigdickprick0x8735…46e5 | Yes | 5,348 | 17.9¢ | $858 | — |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 961 | 90.1¢ | $807 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 4,432 | 11.1¢ | $711 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| forever1230x8998…32be | No | 818 | 94.0¢ | $687 | New63 settled bets |
| ggwellplayista0x35e1…f41d | No | 704 | 80.5¢ | $591 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 703 | 65.4¢ | $590 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | No | 647 | 77.3¢ | $543 | — |
| 0xc6e1…3b95 | No | 512 | 81.2¢ | $430 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 431 bets |
| 0x51be…2df3 | No | 478 | 84.3¢ | $402 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 420 | 88.2¢ | $353 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 2,048 | 17.1¢ | $329 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| k7X9mP2qW40x7994…c512 | Yes | 1,916 | 20.4¢ | $308 | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 1,430 bets |
| OntheHedge0x6f71…b80e | No | 350 | 92.1¢ | $294 | — |
| 0xd509…fc70 | Yes | 1,733 | 21.1¢ | $278 | — |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 321 | 93.4¢ | $270 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 320 | 88.8¢ | $269 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| seafoodcapital0xbb8b…4b1c | No | 300 | 82.4¢ | $252 | New19 settled bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No | 300 | 80.0¢ | $252 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 256 | 93.3¢ | $215 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Fain0x0262…a9d2 | No | 220 | 85.8¢ | $185 | — |
| AdjunctBias0x27e5…fb20 | No | 158 | 92.6¢ | $133 | — |
| lemonmina0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | 150 | 93.2¢ | $126 | — |
| Juuless0x90d0…5097 | Yes | 756 | 22.1¢ | $121 | — |
| allenzzz0xe749…f771 | No | 140 | 93.5¢ | $118 | Proven+$2.10 per $100 · 229 bets |
| OverlookHotel0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | 726 | 12.0¢ | $117 | Losing−$23.70 per $100 · 297 bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 135 | 74.9¢ | $113 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| dave123450xc320…7637 | Yes | 644 | 23.9¢ | $103 | — |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | Yes | 581 | 17.8¢ | $93 | — |
| Happygamer0x06af…3741 | No | 100 | 92.0¢ | $84 | — |
| molgeri0x4fa7…ad18 | No | 100 | 85.3¢ | $84 | — |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 100 | 90.5¢ | $84 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 100 | 81.4¢ | $84 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| paranoun0x6988…f556 | Yes | 461 | 16.5¢ | $74 | — |
| 0x4015…f4a9 | No | 83 | 92.9¢ | $70 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 427 | 22.8¢ | $68 | — |
| APaintnobroke0x5824…69a9 | No | 80 | 90.1¢ | $67 | — |
| manthans0x4771…3bf9 | Yes | 415 | 7.6¢ | $67 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 378 | 21.9¢ | $61 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| stanmktmaker0xf0ce…ee0b | Yes | 362 | 16.8¢ | $58 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 344 | 16.0¢ | $55 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| Jaidevs20x8dc9…7c94 | No | 59 | 85.2¢ | $50 | — |
| Vagabund970xa53b…4021 | Yes | 300 | 25.4¢ | $48 | — |
| rocky420230xd035…f165 | Yes | 300 | 19.6¢ | $48 | — |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 55 | 92.4¢ | $46 | — |
| marinkaattila0xeebe…6a3c | No | 55 | 94.1¢ | $46 | — |
| 0kayd0kay0x7207…1c60 | No | 54 | 84.4¢ | $45 | — |
| StanGrossman0xaf35…9a45 | Yes | 279 | 14.5¢ | $45 | Positive+$59.71 per $100 · 746 bets |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 52 | 93.3¢ | $44 | — |
| 0xd24b…18ee | Yes | 268 | 18.1¢ | $43 | — |
| 0x0db8…1d6a | No | 50 | 78.5¢ | $42 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 50 | 77.1¢ | $42 | — |
| funnyday0xd727…ecce | Yes | 203 | 15.7¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 11,345 bets |
| Judea-Pearl0x4e94…d649 | Yes | 201 | 17.2¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 515 bets |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 200 | 24.0¢ | $32 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | Yes | 189 | 24.7¢ | $30 | — |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 29 | 93.5¢ | $24 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| moneybagsmannion0x7984…638a | Yes | 150 | 8.0¢ | $24 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 150 | 16.0¢ | $24 | — |
| BreaktheChain0x0182…810a | Yes | 123 | 28.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xb886…72fc | No | 20 | 90.9¢ | $17 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 100 | 22.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x2de5…d6f2 | Yes | 97 | 17.2¢ | $16 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 83 | 23.3¢ | $13 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 82 | 21.5¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| RolandZhang0x0cd6…2784 | Yes | 80 | 15.6¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7da9…5741 | Yes | 80 | 17.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xbeff…08e4 | Yes | 79 | 7.9¢ | $13 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 78 | 16.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| burakrum0x9fcf…8907 | Yes | 77 | 17.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 15 | 86.7¢ | $12 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| qcp70x7875…0dfb | Yes | 72 | 17.6¢ | $12 | — |
| Andycjs900xc5d1…dabd | Yes | 62 | 9.9¢ | $10 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 83.2¢ | $8 | — |
| PITON20260x2142…6b8c | Yes | 50 | 6.3¢ | $8 | — |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | Yes | 50 | 26.0¢ | $8 | — |
| poopedpants0xfe04…9a42 | Yes | 50 | 9.9¢ | $8 | — |
| hitfar0x16b4…168f | Yes | 40 | 19.4¢ | $6 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 24.5¢ | $6 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 7 | 83.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 34 | 21.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 31 | 22.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 24.6¢ | $5 | — |
| cpctbusiness0x8807…d08a | Yes | 28 | 24.6¢ | $5 | — |
| Varuh0xbb27…7d0b | Yes | 28 | 18.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 5 | 93.4¢ | $4 | — |
| doctorno990x4e2d…4936 | Yes | 27 | 21.7¢ | $4 | — |
| olivas0x37a0…ec34 | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $4 | — |
| winekine0x46fe…154b | Yes | 23 | 22.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Wizard-of-Alt0x8c7e…5b88 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $3 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 3 | 89.1¢ | $3 | — |
| MillerJamesaz0x8b53…8808 | No | 3 | 95.9¢ | $3 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 3 | 83.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 2 | 81.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| easyautomate0xd069…d078 | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| FinanceTrading0x51f6…69e9 | No | 1 | 84.4¢ | $1 | — |
| m100xb6cb…21cd | No | 1 | 84.6¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.