Market · 7 of 8 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MasterOfMankind0x037d…00e3 | No | 847 | 1.0¢ | $754 | — |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 500 | 55.0¢ | $445 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 354 | 84.8¢ | $315 | — |
| 0x5869…f493 | Yes | 1,601 | 76.4¢ | $176 | — |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | No | 168 | 81.5¢ | $150 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 104 | 85.8¢ | $92 | — |
| 1walrus0x6560…e164 | No | 81 | 78.7¢ | $72 | Positive+$1.87 per $100 · 1,550 bets |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | No | 80 | 88.5¢ | $71 | — |
| infoowl0xbeb1…2630 | No | 80 | 26.0¢ | $71 | — |
| erdos-baconator0x3a5b…9375 | No | 61 | 81.6¢ | $54 | — |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | No | 50 | 84.7¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 37 | 88.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0xd309…d769 | Yes | 168 | 12.6¢ | $18 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 131 | 14.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Rogoio70x3176…3990 | Yes | 127 | 13.1¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xd27b…9947 | Yes | 118 | 24.1¢ | $13 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $9 | — |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | No | 10 | 82.7¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xbe08…a0a0 | Yes | 80 | 8.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 76 | 18.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 60 | 15.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $4 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 21 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 2 | 88.5¢ | $2 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 1 | 83.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 6 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hih9990xd2fe…25d6 | Yes | 2 | 20.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.