Market · 2 of 8 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 277 | 52.9¢ | $141 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | No | 247 | 53.4¢ | $121 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| alamedamemola0x037b…a36f | Yes | 100 | 70.0¢ | $51 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 100 | 45.0¢ | $49 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 100 | 33.0¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,042 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 77 | 72.9¢ | $39 | — |
| funnyday0xd727…ecce | Yes | 60 | 56.0¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 11,345 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 61 | 30.2¢ | $30 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | 58 | 71.0¢ | $30 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,373 bets |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 42 | 62.7¢ | $21 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 42 | 48.7¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 40 | 79.3¢ | $20 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 40 | 49.5¢ | $20 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 38.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | No | 20 | 52.2¢ | $10 | — |
| erdos-baconator0x3a5b…9375 | No | 12 | 44.2¢ | $6 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 11 | 58.2¢ | $6 | — |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | No | 11 | 66.1¢ | $5 | — |
| earedbat0xd0fc…5422 | Yes | 10 | 64.0¢ | $5 | — |
| stuv0xb02e…a754 | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $5 | — |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | No | 9 | 30.0¢ | $4 | — |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | No | 8 | 46.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Gusace0x80bd…b925 | Yes | 6 | 69.1¢ | $3 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 5 | 34.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 16.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | 5 | 74.0¢ | $2 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 4 | 28.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 1 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 1 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xea24…2cc8 | No | 0 | 35.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | Yes | 0 | 45.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.