Market · 1 of 8 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 171 | 84.6¢ | $93 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 196 | 11.9¢ | $90 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| funnyday0xd727…ecce | Yes | 160 | 87.3¢ | $87 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 11,350 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 152 | 64.3¢ | $82 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 146 | 26.5¢ | $67 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,501 bets |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | No | 144 | 45.7¢ | $66 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 59 | 72.3¢ | $32 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | 41 | 77.4¢ | $22 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 7,403 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 41 | 30.7¢ | $19 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 31 | 34.1¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 22 | 91.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 21 | 70.7¢ | $11 | — |
| cacato0xd6df…d71d | Yes | 20 | 88.7¢ | $11 | — |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | No | 22 | 34.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 20 | 29.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 20 | 8.0¢ | $9 | — |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | No | 20 | 24.2¢ | $9 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 20 | 37.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 84690xf137…9cb6 | Yes | 13 | 97.1¢ | $7 | New11 settled bets |
| 0x8c9e…22fa | Yes | 12 | 83.9¢ | $7 | — |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | Yes | 11 | 24.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x50c9…dec1 | Yes | 9 | 70.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xbbf6…7de7 | No | 10 | 16.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | No | 9 | 11.4¢ | $4 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 7 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 5 | 10.1¢ | $2 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 1 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.