Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 73 | 75.0¢ | $54 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,501 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 40 | 82.0¢ | $30 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| franklyno0x9c11…847b | No | 34 | 61.2¢ | $25 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 30 | 76.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 24 | 75.1¢ | $18 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 66 | 25.3¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 66 | 28.5¢ | $17 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $15 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 17 | 61.7¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0xd4d6…80d0 | No | 17 | 60.2¢ | $13 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 35 | 18.7¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 26 | 40.5¢ | $7 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 26.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | Yes | 20 | 25.0¢ | $5 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 18 | 26.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 5 | 18.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.