Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 50 | 84.0¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| POB10xb431…82ec | No | 24 | 84.3¢ | $20 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 40 | 24.5¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 0xbbf6…7de7 | Yes | 13 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 2 | 83.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 2 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 1 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.