Market · 6 of 71 outcomes
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 771 | 90.4¢ | $691 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 500 | 84.7¢ | $448 | — |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 222 | 60.6¢ | $199 | — |
| 0x8026…2f99 | Yes | 747 | 20.5¢ | $77 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 40 | 88.5¢ | $36 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 38 | 94.3¢ | $34 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 38 | 87.0¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 4rchibald4rchy4rmstrong0xb728…fc92 | Yes | 313 | 4.1¢ | $32 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | No | 25 | 74.4¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 23 | 94.6¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 175 | 6.8¢ | $18 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 96 | 7.8¢ | $10 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 70 | 5.8¢ | $7 | Losing−$13.57 per $100 · 115 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 62 | 11.3¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| lizlocks0x8b1c…1ec7 | Yes | 58 | 5.7¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 89.4¢ | $4 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 40 | 42.0¢ | $4 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 8.0¢ | $3 | — |
| vz337b0x68cd…79fc | Yes | 24 | 14.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 18 | 16.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| kirk100x1757…bd49 | Yes | 16 | 14.5¢ | $2 | — |
| lovecraft-2250xdc4d…f2c9 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd943…915d | Yes | 11 | 14.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| 0x17af…f73d | No | 1 | 86.6¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 7 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| Ssnider4200x7743…e179 | Yes | 6 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 4 | 7.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 3 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 1 | 13.8¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 1 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 1 | 7.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 58dgfd0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | 0 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| dme1vfga0x25fd…5bf2 | No | 0 | 95.9¢ | $0 | — |
| vhb5jped0x2d0c…8e50 | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x690a…2ea7 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| IRanIchTeam0xdfaa…79a7 | No | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xffa4…162b | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| caipiao0xae8a…9f2a | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.