Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sharpnochase0x7a33…dd0f | Yes | 15,728 | 64.3¢ | $9.76K | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 9,136 | 7.0¢ | $5.67K | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,306 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 8,192 | 25.0¢ | $5.08K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| PLB0xd5d8…e9a1 | Yes | 7,500 | 29.9¢ | $4.65K | — |
| onlyinvegas0xc44d…935c | No | 7,154 | 70.8¢ | $2.71K | — |
| -Guapo--0x8725…eb10 | No | 6,643 | 74.4¢ | $2.52K | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 13,454 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 6,493 | 32.9¢ | $2.46K | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 3,000 | 64.5¢ | $1.86K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| 0xf475…8486 | Yes | 2,755 | 6.0¢ | $1.71K | — |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Yes | 2,577 | 17.9¢ | $1.6K | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 6,540 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,297 | 40.2¢ | $1.43K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| 0xa82c…dd71 | Yes | 2,000 | 10.4¢ | $1.24K | Losing−$11.94 per $100 · 154 bets |
| bmoan0x32d0…6070 | No | 3,167 | 84.6¢ | $1.2K | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 865 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 2,785 | 34.1¢ | $1.06K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| TimSheHe0xf006…bb6c | Yes | 1,695 | 6.2¢ | $1.05K | — |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3 | Yes | 1,653 | 63.8¢ | $1.03K | Losing−$1.55 per $100 · 920 bets |
| baekhoyj0xdc9e…5a9e | Yes | 1,626 | 31.4¢ | $1.01K | — |
| Jiefu31520x6943…996c | Yes | 1,551 | 64.5¢ | $962 | — |
| DavidShekel0x5452…d448 | Yes | 1,279 | 11.0¢ | $794 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 5,121 bets |
| PhucXO0xf07e…842e | No | 2,036 | 57.8¢ | $773 | — |
| MenacingTurtle0x0121…f722 | No | 2,030 | 40.8¢ | $770 | Positive+$3.05 per $100 · 855 bets |
| baseballlover0x08ad…208e | Yes | 1,084 | 26.9¢ | $673 | Losing−$3.51 per $100 · 268 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 1,048 | 14.5¢ | $650 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| 0x20d6…3856 | No | 1,500 | 36.2¢ | $569 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 1,996 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,207 | 53.0¢ | $458 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,057 bets |
| JBucketz0x99e0…5052 | Yes | 500 | 9.5¢ | $310 | — |
| 0xc104…e684 | Yes | 500 | 62.0¢ | $310 | — |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | Yes | 430 | 1.6¢ | $267 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 609 | 36.6¢ | $231 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| 0xe9f7…00f9 | No | 580 | 35.0¢ | $220 | — |
| mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | 330 | 9.0¢ | $205 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 40,453 bets |
| MambaKobe0xe393…f016 | Yes | 300 | 59.3¢ | $186 | — |
| 0x40f5…55b9 | Yes | 284 | 53.5¢ | $176 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 250 | 13.4¢ | $155 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| TCA0xbc31…971f | Yes | 200 | 20.9¢ | $124 | — |
| Oddsman1010x36d0…8dce | No | 300 | 35.7¢ | $114 | Losing−$9.78 per $100 · 461 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 181 | 46.0¢ | $112 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,150 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 275 | 36.7¢ | $104 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| shisushi0x860d…3c72 | No | 257 | 51.4¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 2,333 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 150 | 28.0¢ | $93 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 230 | 0.0¢ | $87 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 2,635 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 122 | 3.3¢ | $76 | New0 settled bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 110 | 61.5¢ | $68 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 165 | 32.5¢ | $63 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| Cescoli0x569b…c66e | Yes | 91 | 17.7¢ | $57 | Losing−$12.86 per $100 · 910 bets |
| 0x476c…ce52 | No | 130 | 79.9¢ | $49 | Proven+$6.86 per $100 · 3,012 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 77 | 62.7¢ | $48 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| simmmy0x2b9a…f6e9 | Yes | 72 | 12.5¢ | $45 | — |
| MattiBianchi08.0xeae3…4143 | Yes | 71 | 14.4¢ | $44 | — |
| Cobrah0x04a1…d6e6 | No | 100 | 79.9¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.28 per $100 · 974 bets |
| Dorokking0x06b9…fb44 | Yes | 60 | 10.6¢ | $37 | Losing−$6.31 per $100 · 640 bets |
| Juano250xc18a…457d | Yes | 57 | 52.9¢ | $36 | — |
| piratesfan13130xf655…7ea4 | Yes | 56 | 1.1¢ | $35 | Proven+$10.61 per $100 · 904 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 53 | 37.6¢ | $33 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| ToastandJam0xb662…8f55 | Yes | 51 | 28.6¢ | $32 | — |
| grumpytrades0xa211…c0e1 | Yes | 50 | 23.9¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xf804…6e13 | Yes | 49 | 8.3¢ | $31 | — |
| AAA11100x0c01…797d | No | 68 | 39.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$41.13 per $100 · 168 bets |
| 0x5cf1…4aa7 | Yes | 41 | 24.4¢ | $25 | — |
| LaPlata0xcd08…9f1c | Yes | 38 | 44.0¢ | $24 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 35 | 6.3¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0xfe5f…1934 | Yes | 34 | 65.5¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xa1a7…1faf | Yes | 32 | 16.1¢ | $20 | — |
| frtgbv0x7bc5…6448 | No | 52 | 95.6¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x4cb5…0b78 | Yes | 32 | 25.9¢ | $20 | — |
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | No | 51 | 72.0¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 17,559 bets |
| usenamee0x09a5…35fe | No | 51 | 95.6¢ | $19 | New11 settled bets |
| klopom0x30cd…8ac2 | No | 51 | 95.5¢ | $19 | — |
| adrenalineenjoyer0x3a74…4e9a | No | 50 | 96.5¢ | $19 | — |
| riplteams0x7635…9a34 | No | 50 | 94.5¢ | $19 | — |
| Bigsmokes0xb883…f671 | No | 50 | 97.6¢ | $19 | — |
| abramovich00xf67c…2886 | No | 50 | 97.6¢ | $19 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 45 | 73.6¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| LeoChao0x7b74…7289 | No | 45 | 36.5¢ | $17 | — |
| hike320xc0ed…2b45 | No | 44 | 96.6¢ | $17 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 23 | 48.5¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Trotz.850x8753…85ad | No | 36 | 77.9¢ | $14 | — |
| GirlOnFire0x7230…f3d0 | No | 30 | 0.0¢ | $11 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 38.2¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x2059…f13b | Yes | 18 | 5.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.93 per $100 · 998 bets |
| igoria0x9184…a2c0 | No | 29 | 94.4¢ | $11 | — |
| Hermann20170xcd0a…cb8a | Yes | 17 | 63.4¢ | $11 | — |
| acw91110xbc5d…3dc3 | No | 25 | 37.7¢ | $9 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 15 | 16.4¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| babycoin0x4692…2aba | No | 23 | 97.9¢ | $9 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 22 | 86.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| elenaashlyn0x084f…cdce | No | 20 | 98.4¢ | $8 | New26 settled bets |
| BBritva90x2735…f599 | No | 20 | 98.3¢ | $8 | New17 settled bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 50.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| PDlinnyi880xc221…a9ee | No | 20 | 98.3¢ | $8 | — |
| WWDCCC0xdb15…fad9 | No | 20 | 90.3¢ | $8 | — |
| luckdoge0xd4f2…597f | No | 18 | 97.9¢ | $7 | — |
| rentableourien0xc3d3…441f | No | 13 | 75.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3e74…19fa | No | 10 | 78.5¢ | $4 | — |
| t57vk6tx8rwb0x3865…fcbe | No | 9 | 97.5¢ | $3 | — |
| yypk0x2186…c542 | No | 6 | 97.9¢ | $2 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 15 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.