Market · 9 of 16 outcomes
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 1,000 | 90.0¢ | $965 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,255 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 386 | 86.4¢ | $373 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| SenseiX0x7f70…fe56 | No | 200 | 89.0¢ | $193 | — |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 129 | 90.6¢ | $125 | — |
| Jaykay00710x3255…ab25 | No | 100 | 93.0¢ | $97 | — |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 100 | 87.0¢ | $97 | — |
| ryansxlin950x4b41…652d | No | 58 | 94.4¢ | $56 | — |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | No | 51 | 91.0¢ | $49 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 50 | 88.0¢ | $48 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 22 | 93.0¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x8c9f…46af | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x499d…65ec | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $19 | — |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 19 | 92.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 429 | 5.1¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x154f…2c7b | No | 11 | 87.0¢ | $11 | — |
| alfredon9960xc96a…702c | No | 11 | 90.1¢ | $11 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 11 | 91.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 10 | 89.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x7b64…8440 | No | 8 | 92.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 205 | 9.5¢ | $7 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Agyapro0xbff5…655b | Yes | 200 | 10.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 324 bets |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 198 | 13.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 182 | 11.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd512…79b3 | Yes | 167 | 6.0¢ | $6 | — |
| javictoria0x6365…eba8 | No | 6 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| peakyman0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | 151 | 4.2¢ | $5 | — |
| zstaxpl4fpb20x92c7…89f5 | No | 5 | 91.9¢ | $5 | — |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| nevermoreee0x3677…c090 | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3d03…9d52 | No | 5 | 90.5¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,098 bets |
| 77kbCcPrd2uG8w0x8dde…5045 | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 174 bets |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 4 | 92.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 101 | 4.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 100 | 7.6¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 95 | 11.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| jonrbzhqbwnc0x838b…46ed | Yes | 75 | 10.7¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 63 | 9.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 62 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 93.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 53 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| sundayhd0x26f9…f183 | Yes | 50 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 50 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kakaainoo0x4a79…b31e | Yes | 20 | 46.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa345…5a44 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 18 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1178…772f | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lifeCreator30x526b…cdee | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| G9vQK5Gcyx0xe90f…131e | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd98e…2b1d | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 4 | 11.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 1 | 6.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Jobi101260x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | 1 | 46.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mst-br0xdda5…c82a | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 0 | 87.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| 76dgdf0x93bc…c5be | Yes | 0 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| abc30x22a4…13e5 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.