Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ccmun0xa53c…629e | Yes | 7,735 | 51.4¢ | $3.52K | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 6,419 | 76.5¢ | $3.5K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0x85d3…ae6f | Yes | 4,431 | 36.7¢ | $2.02K | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 3,158 | 30.2¢ | $1.44K | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| superyyman0xfb87…f53d | Yes | 2,987 | 48.3¢ | $1.36K | — |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | Yes | 2,805 | 36.7¢ | $1.28K | — |
| yypower0xb313…1ce7 | Yes | 2,198 | 22.7¢ | $1K | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 1,075 | 34.0¢ | $586 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| JC-20000x2b74…a10e | Yes | 1,259 | 46.9¢ | $573 | — |
| 0xb9b8…38b6 | Yes | 1,007 | 30.6¢ | $458 | — |
| Tingo20260xc1d3…0d96 | No | 828 | 62.7¢ | $451 | — |
| jackychen10x9d0e…28c5 | Yes | 920 | 41.2¢ | $419 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 731 | 29.5¢ | $398 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| join-in0xbae1…3a47 | Yes | 510 | 20.9¢ | $232 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 505 | 38.0¢ | $230 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 418 | 57.6¢ | $228 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | No | 409 | 60.7¢ | $223 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 384 | 57.0¢ | $209 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| kitan70x5a24…7d0d | No | 332 | 77.7¢ | $181 | — |
| 0x282e…e8e6 | No | 300 | 62.0¢ | $164 | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 115 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 271 | 51.0¢ | $148 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 245 | 59.2¢ | $134 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| TLfantasy0x56e4…38f1 | Yes | 284 | 44.1¢ | $129 | New0 settled bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 261 | 46.1¢ | $119 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| hwhwlhwlhwl0xae0b…0913 | Yes | 256 | 40.0¢ | $117 | Losing−$2.34 per $100 · 474 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 255 | 49.5¢ | $116 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x89e1…b640 | Yes | 243 | 30.8¢ | $111 | — |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 227 | 48.0¢ | $103 | — |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | No | 182 | 70.4¢ | $99 | — |
| fomoallin0x5aca…5d58 | Yes | 207 | 37.2¢ | $94 | — |
| StevenchienTF0x3ff3…fccc | Yes | 197 | 45.0¢ | $90 | — |
| cancan0x0362…af2e | Yes | 180 | 19.5¢ | $82 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 140 | 58.1¢ | $76 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 159 | 45.2¢ | $72 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,150 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 100 | 60.4¢ | $55 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| kaputen0xfbc2…e30e | Yes | 109 | 42.2¢ | $50 | — |
| Clooney55660x5ba5…8f77 | Yes | 91 | 28.2¢ | $42 | — |
| 0x0d4a…9210 | Yes | 88 | 46.3¢ | $40 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 73 | 49.0¢ | $40 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 70 | 53.1¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x89ea…6063 | No | 65 | 55.0¢ | $35 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 69 | 43.4¢ | $32 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 63 | 18.0¢ | $29 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 49 | 61.3¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 46 | 56.1¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| 0x1da4…143d | Yes | 52 | 27.9¢ | $24 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 50 | 43.9¢ | $23 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| 党的光辉照我心0x51ba…3ca5 | Yes | 50 | 20.6¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xcc03…51fe | Yes | 50 | 31.9¢ | $23 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 48 | 29.5¢ | $22 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 40 | 53.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 39 | 55.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| 0x3b30…100f | No | 33 | 61.0¢ | $18 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 38 | 44.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 57.0¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| kl04140x51ea…88a6 | Yes | 32 | 31.9¢ | $15 | — |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 31 | 26.7¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,392 bets |
| 0x1ca4…355b | No | 25 | 65.5¢ | $14 | — |
| Arashi95270x2567…e51d | Yes | 29 | 20.6¢ | $13 | — |
| vanessasmith0x62aa…0912 | No | 23 | 61.0¢ | $13 | — |
| infoowl0xbeb1…2630 | No | 20 | 26.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Sean9980xa655…7d5e | Yes | 24 | 43.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | No | 20 | 58.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x761e…2a7f | No | 20 | 52.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x26ca…edba | Yes | 21 | 48.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 18 | 58.9¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 30.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 20 | 38.9¢ | $9 | — |
| bailey750x62a7…4868 | No | 17 | 64.0¢ | $9 | — |
| hanes690xca2a…73ae | Yes | 20 | 51.9¢ | $9 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 19 | 24.0¢ | $9 | — |
| wjy45280x07db…1711 | Yes | 18 | 28.8¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,368 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 65.0¢ | $5 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 55.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 44.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 10 | 35.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| hunebedhighway0xc704…1f47 | Yes | 10 | 31.9¢ | $5 | — |
| greyfacemoon0xb76f…0854 | Yes | 10 | 21.1¢ | $4 | — |
| coulee0x014a…b197 | No | 8 | 63.9¢ | $4 | — |
| maniacite0x977d…5d9d | No | 8 | 50.0¢ | $4 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 8 | 57.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| coollala090xf612…7e0b | Yes | 7 | 47.0¢ | $3 | — |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 6 | 81.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| MicahLeung0x5b16…21b4 | Yes | 7 | 51.0¢ | $3 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 6 | 44.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 5 | 81.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.01 per $100 · 4,124 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 5 | 60.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 74.0¢ | $3 | — |
| sajat5mm0xb349…39d8 | No | 5 | 53.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | No | 5 | 72.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 74.0¢ | $3 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 3 | 78.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 2 | 56.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x8996…1d00 | No | 2 | 64.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 1 | 52.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.