Market · 2 of 23 outcomes
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | No | 2,119 | 57.4¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,000 | 52.4¢ | $425 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 811 | 48.3¢ | $345 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 760 | 53.3¢ | $323 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,284 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 545 | 52.3¢ | $313 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 488 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 212 | 51.0¢ | $122 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 150 | 57.3¢ | $86 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| sqaolkytrpoi0xd6dd…98ee | No | 120 | 58.0¢ | $69 | Proven+$5.99 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 118 | 57.0¢ | $68 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| SakuraDevil0x0c3c…5eea | Yes | 128 | 41.9¢ | $54 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 84 | 44.0¢ | $36 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 84 | 53.8¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 60 | 59.1¢ | $35 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 60 | 52.6¢ | $25 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 743 bets |
| eivison0x19ae…908e | No | 39 | 56.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x495d…b73b | Yes | 50 | 51.0¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | 43 | 52.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 3,596 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 40 | 58.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | Yes | 40 | 41.6¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 30 | 49.8¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 47.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| 0xb4f6…eada | Yes | 29 | 48.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 26 | 56.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 26 | 46.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 21 | 56.6¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 20 | 53.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 16 | 43.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 16 | 61.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| 0x2650…44f7 | Yes | 13 | 52.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.64 per $100 · 1,761 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 57.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 8 | 44.9¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x6e1e…98fc | Yes | 7 | 44.7¢ | $3 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | No | 4 | 42.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.01 per $100 · 106,178+ bets · updating |
| 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | 6 | 54.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 962 bets |
| 77kbCcPrd2uG8w0x8dde…5045 | Yes | 5 | 57.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 174 bets |
| Spielermann0x0c93…aafa | Yes | 5 | 49.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.81 per $100 · 320 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 4 | 41.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 7,693 bets |
| 0xe5ec…5c81 | Yes | 3 | 43.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2b73…174e | Yes | 3 | 42.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 7figtc0x6a90…c2e3 | No | 2 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Char1230xe86a…ade5 | No | 2 | 56.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | 1 | 59.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 817 bets |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 1 | 56.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1 | 52.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | Yes | 1 | 42.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x21d5…b6d5 | Yes | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.76 per $100 · 734 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 0 | 41.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | Yes | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 0 | 47.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| toolFutziYoTin0x7e33…fe0b | Yes | 0 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | No | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 0 | 44.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | No | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gullmarc0xa340…e3ff | Yes | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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