Market · 46 of 71 outcomes
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 1,772 | 92.0¢ | $1.71K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 450 | 75.7¢ | $435 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | No | 222 | 90.4¢ | $215 | Proven+$7.94 per $100 · 469 bets |
| everybody250x863a…ad1e | No | 55 | 87.5¢ | $53 | — |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 775 | 9.9¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 497 bets |
| ng60000x6ffd…a637 | No | 24 | 86.0¢ | $23 | Positive+$6.39 per $100 · 7,739 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 625 | 11.1¢ | $21 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,368 bets |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 21 | 85.0¢ | $20 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 14 | 95.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,218+ bets · updating |
| UsualSuspects0xe097…d811 | No | 13 | 80.6¢ | $12 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 200 | 19.5¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 194 | 4.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| TheHorrorsPersistButSoDoI0xa706…42f0 | No | 6 | 87.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xb253…2d38 | No | 6 | 85.5¢ | $6 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 150 | 5.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| apol10x91d2…8f47 | Yes | 118 | 17.0¢ | $4 | — |
| owendz0x68d1…03ef | Yes | 77 | 13.5¢ | $3 | — |
| UNbelieve4u0xa051…de02 | Yes | 75 | 38.2¢ | $2 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 70 | 4.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| sunshines0xa7ee…421b | Yes | 40 | 36.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.74 per $100 · 320 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 39 | 5.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| betterbet1230xec4f…9d60 | No | 1 | 88.4¢ | $1 | — |
| IAmDuDa0x4063…ca13 | No | 1 | 97.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 30 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$33.83 per $100 · 567 bets |
| AnthonyRobbins47120x09be…76d5 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| BrianKnox55010xbdaf…f63c | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 1 | 80.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 28 | 8.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 24 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| 0x75d1…7a5f | Yes | 22 | 16.6¢ | $1 | Proven+$6.26 per $100 · 8,077 bets |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 20 | 8.3¢ | $1 | New89 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 16 | 9.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,044 bets |
| szarruk0x677e…5d5a | Yes | 13 | 20.0¢ | $0 | New57 settled bets |
| bank4bank0xa3ce…e58d | Yes | 12 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| destropyer0x363c…4463 | Yes | 10 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| xf3yroh9fcfn0x8118…4838 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 8 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| IrthBirth0xc092…5428 | Yes | 7 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 47.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,825 bets |
| 0x2e59…123e | Yes | 5 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| datstony0x6157…f94d | Yes | 5 | 22.7¢ | $0 | New14 settled bets |
| cryptobar10xa159…ac8e | Yes | 5 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc572…15b9 | Yes | 5 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7005…caf7 | Yes | 3 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5931…6e8b | Yes | 3 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x99bc…4f35 | No | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RexScrat0x78b1…cf6a | Yes | 2 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 2 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 2 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| JackTaylor96240xdcb1…c4e8 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ChristineWalker73540xe513…b842 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 1 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,990 bets |
| ScottsRoad0xcceb…f030 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Xyzeric0xe5f5…9c9c | Yes | 1 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc491…8012 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x406e…28c2 | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | — |
| lljians0x40ef…fef6 | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa6c8…9810 | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 0 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| vaccatinous0x1adf…0376 | Yes | 0 | 18.1¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiDISNEY0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.