Market · 5 of 21 outcomes
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 348 | 99.9¢ | $347 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| 4zzz0x616c…1a06 | No | 106 | 99.9¢ | $105 | — |
| grok450x1a02…2881 | No | 104 | 99.9¢ | $104 | — |
| huoone0x0388…072c | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| nishsan0xbb89…d08c | No | 100 | 99.7¢ | $100 | — |
| SafeVaultBlue0x977f…0981 | No | 90 | 95.3¢ | $90 | — |
| yuiuoipiopoi0xa335…0f71 | No | 69 | 99.6¢ | $69 | — |
| kcgtukfcuk0x77a7…ae64 | No | 59 | 99.9¢ | $59 | — |
| wys490x117e…f6bd | No | 58 | 99.7¢ | $58 | — |
| 0023250xd664…c29c | No | 57 | 99.9¢ | $57 | — |
| weiboss0xbd31…8eba | No | 56 | 99.8¢ | $56 | — |
| 25601548890x5277…f793 | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| justgo0x1140…bcb2 | No | 53 | 99.9¢ | $52 | — |
| Bai10x3174…ae02 | No | 51 | 99.9¢ | $51 | — |
| KM;NKO0x18ff…7ab4 | No | 50 | 99.8¢ | $50 | — |
| fdhfujf0x1dfe…e9ed | No | 43 | 99.8¢ | $43 | — |
| MORGANVIII0xdda3…d55f | Yes | 27,000 | 0.2¢ | $41 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 24,500 | 0.2¢ | $37 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| thatcrit990x155e…056c | Yes | 21,928 | 0.2¢ | $33 | — |
| sauie0xc4f0…4ce4 | No | 29 | 99.7¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x986d…12b9 | No | 27 | 99.9¢ | $27 | — |
| 210250xaad5…3c0e | No | 26 | 99.9¢ | $26 | — |
| gbkjgkj0x208b…4cb1 | No | 26 | 99.9¢ | $26 | — |
| euprty0x4f20…81b5 | No | 25 | 99.9¢ | $25 | — |
| bnxfgn0x4005…2e5b | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| blueridge27080x79c2…23ff | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | — |
| hoakim-w0x43bc…48c1 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| 658.btc0x23ea…4509 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 566q0x7be3…0be2 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| gmmm10x82bc…a8a5 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| rrt70xa39f…69f0 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| kaituoz0xdf8f…625a | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| fadala0x0730…4b31 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| woailuoz0x8d94…e12f | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| huha80x8e6d…1b92 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| po7ko0xc227…453a | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| facai990xda33…1f55 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| hkd66hsk0xfe43…a5b0 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| jhard130xada8…085c | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| 29Exigo0x79cc…3258 | No | 19 | 99.8¢ | $19 | — |
| feldrinson0x5dc0…0c35 | No | 19 | 99.8¢ | $19 | — |
| tw7silv0xa1f0…4b3f | No | 19 | 99.8¢ | $19 | — |
| mainc0xdc23…0fed | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | — |
| f8j38mr0x8425…168a | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | New0 settled bets |
| ilovetck0x4aad…a5d9 | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | — |
| nyashka0010xd6c4…0e6c | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | — |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 11,689 | 0.3¢ | $18 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| 07crpt0x237a…3806 | No | 17 | 99.8¢ | $17 | — |
| Arb4arb40xf02b…4e65 | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | — |
| potuzhniy13370xf3c4…77c7 | No | 16 | 99.8¢ | $16 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 10,675 | 3.1¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 10,250 | 0.3¢ | $15 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| johhnybravox0xb50f…76e6 | No | 15 | 99.8¢ | $15 | — |
| bifrsto0x0dd5…3dfa | No | 15 | 99.8¢ | $15 | — |
| p00990x1f51…531e | Yes | 10,128 | 0.3¢ | $15 | Positive+$10.69 per $100 · 180 bets |
| baoxiu0x8884…47f5 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| kok.pol0x907d…b12f | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| BleatingWeasel0xb264…eb03 | Yes | 9,227 | 0.3¢ | $14 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 8,655 | 0.1¢ | $13 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| pavook0x11df…5fee | Yes | 4,860 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 3,839 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| magickD3MiAN0xa66b…0b8b | Yes | 2,333 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 2,316 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,974 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,874 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,599 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| AvidMound29490x8bf6…6c2f | Yes | 1,227 | 8.4¢ | $2 | New1 settled bet |
| lu149e0xef10…9268 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 925 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,608 bets |
| Ohmyimboy0xf2f2…7c2a | Yes | 833 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 800 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 0x8df9…468c | Yes | 718 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb315…92e1 | Yes | 714 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 690 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 651 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| 0x394e…ab6e | Yes | 560 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 530 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| buzhisuo0x6837…0723 | Yes | 525 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 52hgj0x6155…a52b | Yes | 520 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| normieholocaust0x7fe7…dbd6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| dan177rrff30xecf7…23c4 | Yes | 500 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 483 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| kaitemo0x7b0f…145c | Yes | 439 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 358 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ailas0x6b3c…e1f0 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$17.10 per $100 · 152 bets |
| Billy13560x8703…b4f4 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| blabla70xa717…8ded | Yes | 322 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Jucy0x3558…0ece | Yes | 210 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 200 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| yakattack-4670xcb14…2179 | Yes | 174 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 153 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| LockedIn10x2591…b527 | Yes | 120 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$14.83 per $100 · 189 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lesivv0x13b6…c633 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$30.21 per $100 · 5,440 bets |
| camkm0xbabd…2b67 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| G4POS0xff98…4403 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 79 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.