Market · 6 of 21 outcomes
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 5,222 | 0.3¢ | $60 | — |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 4,022 | 1.0¢ | $46 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| SlayerH0x17e4…4d33 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | $12 | Losing−$7.61 per $100 · 480 bets |
| mememememe0x7997…0b06 | No | 10 | 99.1¢ | $10 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 702 | 2.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,777 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 650 | 3.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| normieholocaust0x7fe7…dbd6 | Yes | 300 | 0.5¢ | $3 | — |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 278 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 259 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,306 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 2 | 95.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| soulMY0x68c0…4991 | Yes | 200 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 110 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 109 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| woeva0x22a7…8f74 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| G4POS0xff98…4403 | Yes | 100 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| frant1c0x3739…307f | Yes | 99 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| qiaoqiaodi0x03b4…8706 | Yes | 88 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Z91EX0x3f67…002d | Yes | 86 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| MORGANVIII0xdda3…d55f | Yes | 76 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd487…a674 | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 45 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | 33 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 31 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 6 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| nova.super0x6c55…a595 | Yes | 0 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.