Market · 4 of 24 outcomes
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 24 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SweetChariot0x562b…dc09 | No | 878 | 82.6¢ | $873 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 5,021 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 46 | 98.7¢ | $46 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,005 bets |
| alphapvp0x2cd9…198c | No | 43 | 96.0¢ | $43 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 30 | 75.4¢ | $30 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| aph00xf764…b216 | No | 6 | 79.3¢ | $6 | — |
| newphonewhatdis0xd0d0…8917 | Yes | 1,042 | 18.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x37dd…bf14 | Yes | 926 | 22.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 5 | 89.1¢ | $5 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 5 | 85.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,036 bets |
| alohajp0xbeda…8bef | Yes | 744 | 15.0¢ | $4 | — |
| cpu0010x8890…cefb | Yes | 464 | 17.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 301 | 22.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.49 per $100 · 8,519 bets |
| nbd5550x4912…c209 | Yes | 234 | 8.8¢ | $1 | — |
| fgjff0x395e…47b5 | No | 1 | 93.1¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 149 | 15.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| Sourcecode0xe5d1…b07a | Yes | 134 | 22.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Ajihei0x8213…af58 | Yes | 133 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Perdiddle110x718d…2b46 | Yes | 118 | 17.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| fourthToWin0xa1d1…a269 | Yes | 100 | 19.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x86b5…2a3b | Yes | 100 | 20.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xaaaf…f2bd | Yes | 91 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 60 | 6.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 55 | 0.7¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| 5NAKEBITE0xdd3a…82af | Yes | 54 | 17.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 50 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,446 bets |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 0 | 78.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xwon0x0b54…5eff | Yes | 33 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| v7H0x17e3…6320 | Yes | 30 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 30 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| shadowcrusader0xf320…3b6f | Yes | 28 | 18.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 25 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 25 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 25 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
| Jerdzce0xb9bf…d4b6 | Yes | 24 | 18.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 19 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 17 | 9.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 16 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093+ bets · updating |
| 0x9c9b…7349 | Yes | 16 | 19.7¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 12 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | No | 0 | 93.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Dalsa0x50ec…e210 | Yes | 11 | 9.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| jordentong0xa7ba…02af | Yes | 6 | 17.9¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| l1nkus0x0b54…76ea | Yes | 4 | 18.3¢ | $0 | — |
| p3eFbv0H3b0x0603…8f62 | Yes | 4 | 12.4¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 2 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| arm1tag30x7c62…f73c | No | 0 | 89.6¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,824 bets |
| J255250x7e80…631b | No | 0 | 75.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$24.09 per $100 · 1,666 bets |
| lako130x065b…714f | Yes | 1 | 13.1¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 17.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 0 | 17.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.