Market · 2 of 18 outcomes
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 18 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | No | 7,402 | 97.5¢ | $7.31K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 126 bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | No | 2,040 | 13.7¢ | $2.01K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | No | 1,255 | 97.1¢ | $1.24K | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 1,178 | 88.6¢ | $1.16K | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,185 bets |
| infolitio0xaf28…7f92 | No | 800 | 45.9¢ | $790 | New58 settled bets |
| 0x2955…0738 | No | 447 | 10.6¢ | $441 | Losing−$9.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| 0x3dfb…abaf | No | 237 | 24.0¢ | $234 | Losing−$3.94 per $100 · 3,385 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 202 | 40.1¢ | $199 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,100 bets |
| Sandberg0x6416…18d7 | No | 177 | 40.1¢ | $175 | — |
| alohajp0xbeda…8bef | Yes | 10,321 | 10.5¢ | $129 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 125 | 92.4¢ | $124 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| ILoveNukes0xb86d…40fc | No | 113 | 44.1¢ | $112 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 96 | 44.0¢ | $95 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,193 bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | Yes | 7,260 | 85.7¢ | $91 | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| funplayer-0x373a…f4c1 | No | 70 | 37.0¢ | $69 | Proven+$8.78 per $100 · 4,607 bets |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 63 | 54.0¢ | $63 | — |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 30 | 19.0¢ | $30 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,113 bets |
| CobraVenenosa0x82ba…0a52 | No | 29 | 47.0¢ | $29 | — |
| CB420x783b…dc4c | No | 29 | 55.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xc58a…b8f8 | No | 20 | 45.0¢ | $20 | — |
| tdolf140x3ca4…aa92 | Yes | 1,037 | 68.2¢ | $13 | — |
| nakshi0xc57b…0a2b | Yes | 866 | 46.9¢ | $11 | — |
| mdgc0xdc3f…f038 | No | 10 | 42.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x476c…ce52 | No | 10 | 41.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$6.90 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 745 | 3.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 608 | 6.2¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Xyzeric0xe5f5…9c9c | Yes | 571 | 1.3¢ | $7 | — |
| FredericChopin0x0800…ceb0 | Yes | 463 | 75.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.09 per $100 · 3,810 bets |
| elliot.0xbca7…87f6 | No | 6 | 87.0¢ | $6 | — |
| hyper5shadowx0x377e…cf03 | No | 5 | 56.2¢ | $5 | — |
| blazeurbinovip0x67fa…03f8 | No | 5 | 61.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 192737hduklf0x9189…9f3f | No | 5 | 55.2¢ | $5 | — |
| gigabotwolfpilot9190xc9a8…4c8a | No | 5 | 56.2¢ | $5 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 5 | 21.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| koreanluckbox0xc3f7…f325 | Yes | 364 | 64.2¢ | $5 | — |
| blairreitter930x84dd…c30c | No | 4 | 59.7¢ | $4 | — |
| nova814koryfleming0x887e…1a3b | No | 4 | 60.2¢ | $4 | — |
| night8960x4022…a44c | No | 4 | 61.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Lumpawaroo0x4f42…e11c | No | 4 | 25.6¢ | $4 | — |
| caseyda0xa07a…c5c6 | No | 4 | 60.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 4 | 51.0¢ | $4 | — |
| virgiltheriot3210xbdf5…0826 | No | 4 | 62.7¢ | $4 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 3 | 47.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Kedl0x97d2…c869 | No | 3 | 42.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | Yes | 200 | 58.0¢ | $3 | — |
| kingnothingKC670xec6d…d1a9 | Yes | 162 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| hanwaysyble0x2373…8c68 | No | 2 | 59.7¢ | $2 | — |
| ChoiceMeteor25200xb082…5138 | Yes | 159 | 78.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x53ec…df91 | Yes | 157 | 49.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 1,984 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 136 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| miroshsa0x982c…0d6e | Yes | 120 | 1.9¢ | $2 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | Yes | 108 | 61.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 104 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| random12340x8236…7c8c | No | 1 | 42.8¢ | $1 | — |
| jinjiberries0x7e9b…e8c2 | Yes | 99 | 83.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 93.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 793 bets |
| Edwardrock0x8a0f…53a2 | Yes | 78 | 51.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | 77 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| fatpapi0xca33…918c | Yes | 71 | 76.3¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 1 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1 | 53.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,087 bets |
| thecapper0x6f18…d8f5 | Yes | 50 | 79.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.16 per $100 · 481 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 46 | 61.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,001 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| coffebely0x1f90…de11 | Yes | 41 | 34.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Noonoo1230x2f52…9fba | Yes | 36 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 35 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 34 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 31 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 30 | 49.2¢ | $0 | — |
| echotrader0x5f56…348a | Yes | 30 | 33.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 11,271 bets |
| brayannbegu0x211b…1872 | No | 0 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Grinder7770x3613…59c6 | Yes | 27 | 48.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.56 per $100 · 974 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 23,601 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 23 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 21 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,279 bets |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| bevvy0xb7ae…ac55 | Yes | 20 | 64.0¢ | $0 | — |
| shiifoo0x30f6…004f | No | 0 | 20.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.80 per $100 · 22,290 bets |
| 0x7417…8329 | Yes | 17 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | Yes | 16 | 35.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x914a…9642 | Yes | 15 | 67.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 15 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 15 | 48.9¢ | $0 | — |
| waterx-0x870f…6da1 | Yes | 13 | 77.2¢ | $0 | — |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | No | 0 | 85.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x018a…9522 | Yes | 12 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Nuipan0x99d8…c902 | Yes | 12 | 86.6¢ | $0 | — |
| daehong13380x226f…1ce8 | Yes | 10 | 51.2¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| linyuzhi0xccdf…b8a7 | Yes | 10 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 8 | 15.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | Yes | 8 | 57.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.63 per $100 · 2,089 bets |
| 0x5822…367e | Yes | 7 | 14.4¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 7 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | No | 0 | 38.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.