Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | No | 656 | 79.6¢ | $654 | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 244 | 77.3¢ | $244 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,398 bets |
| echotrader0x5f56…348a | No | 60 | 81.5¢ | $60 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 11,271 bets |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 53 | 63.8¢ | $53 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 35 | 90.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| MambaKobe0xe393…f016 | No | 18 | 80.8¢ | $18 | — |
| Nigaa0x9670…30f8 | No | 6 | 80.5¢ | $6 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 828 | 25.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,100 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 2 | 36.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,297 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 603 | 19.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 1 | 73.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 204 | 10.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 200 | 9.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 188 | 1.3¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x0cca…700f | Yes | 150 | 26.9¢ | $0 | New40 settled bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 97 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 92 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 90 | 9.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.57 per $100 · 3,812 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 78 | 5.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 68 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | 66 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 60 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| qs12345670xc460…38a0 | Yes | 60 | 28.6¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 53 | 28.2¢ | $0 | — |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 50 | 15.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.25 per $100 · 5,875 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 45 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093+ bets · updating |
| alohajp0xbeda…8bef | Yes | 43 | 39.0¢ | $0 | — |
| khanoftruth0x742f…d673 | Yes | 40 | 10.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 18,004 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 23 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 21 | 31.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,036 bets |
| v7H0x17e3…6320 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| leectram20x0d4f…000e | Yes | 17 | 10.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.19 per $100 · 2,210 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 16 | 45.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| Beast19830x7c3a…dfcf | No | 0 | 75.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc58a…b8f8 | Yes | 16 | 64.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 13 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 13 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$24.09 per $100 · 1,666 bets |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 13 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| htdctjc0x1324…eb09 | No | 0 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9daa…9904 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| gilbert0030x9aa7…dd91 | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| asgfdasd0x5493…af51 | No | 0 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | No | 0 | 68.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | 1 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Noonoo1230x2f52…9fba | Yes | 1 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | 0 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| risknot30x61f2…e2ae | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jeasdfgjea0x85ca…76f2 | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 0 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pogb0xc03f…249d | Yes | 0 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| eightball.mood0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 0 | 17.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.