Market · 16 of 30 outcomes
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 26,000 | 0.1¢ | $26 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 6,717 | 0.2¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 4,018 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| FUUFII0xcb6a…0bb1 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1,480 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0x8232…5ef2 | Yes | 1,340 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,153 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,058 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,847 bets |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 895 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 827 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| tomateman0xf90d…8642 | Yes | 439 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 352 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| 0x0b3e328455c4059EEb9e3f84b5543F74E24e7E1w0xbcde…8dda | Yes | 301 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | 221 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 205 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 205 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 143 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Bull690x7313…9915 | Yes | 133 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 125 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 107 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0x5fb7…0068 | Yes | 100 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 85 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| beachboy10x2fab…5623 | Yes | 70 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Archy270x6db9…1baf | Yes | 70 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 67 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 57 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 56 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,566 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 55 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| tiancs0x8301…3bdc | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 40 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| Risky-MooLa0xe1d2…0ecf | Yes | 40 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 3j2ei23098ui0x24ca…5829 | Yes | 34 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 34 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x00a8…e034 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.