Market · 10 of 15 outcomes
Will Serghei Spivac be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No | 4 | 75.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,136 | 5.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,774 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 671 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,434 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 567 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 58,293+ bets · updating |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 419 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 159,674 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 368 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 202 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 190 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 187 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 149 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,328 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 133 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 128 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,306 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 125 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| klli270xc04e…c1f9 | Yes | 117 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 112 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 108 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 97 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 96 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 84 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 77 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 77 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.03 per $100 · 18,948 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 70 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 61 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,071 bets |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 60 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 53 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 52 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 50 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 43 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.18 per $100 · 20,720 bets |
| 0xfba1…1733 | Yes | 42 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| romanew-10-0.5-sport0xa2cd…b0f4 | Yes | 36 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | 31 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 27 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| tiancs0x8301…3bdc | Yes | 26 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 21 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | Yes | 15 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x837f…97a3 | Yes | 15 | 13.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TheFinalPercent0x7ce1…f30a | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 9 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 6 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| ElectionBetter12340xb29a…ae79 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | Yes | 5 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| clanker690xeef4…a917 | Yes | 4 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 4 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.