Market · 6 of 15 outcomes
Will Sergei Pavlovich be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 42 | 99.7¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 7 | 85.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 400 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| buddha1220xf44d…68ac | Yes | 372 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 368 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 361 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,306 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 295 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| Random250x7e9d…e7b4 | Yes | 250 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hqbts0x5e16…672e | Yes | 166 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 155 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 130 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Bliiiiiiiiiinnn0xb6c8…892e | Yes | 124 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 105 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| Budak43320x3f36…8164 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 73 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 73 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 60 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 59 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 58 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 30 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 24 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fc4…0daa | Yes | 23 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| shuld0x3f77…43f0 | Yes | 20 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x384a…9ec9 | Yes | 16 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 16 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 63,331+ bets · updating |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 15 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | Yes | 15 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| rocket0060x7272…a547 | Yes | 13 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 12 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 10 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 7 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| 0x837f…97a3 | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 6 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 29Tesrsss0x1016…c866 | Yes | 5 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| egrsafvafvaer0x81ad…36a2 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | Yes | 5 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| clanker690xeef4…a917 | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb961…d074 | Yes | 4 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| orin400xd493…7f04 | Yes | 2 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | Yes | 2 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 0 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.89 per $100 · 53,017+ bets · updating |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 0 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.