Sébastien Lecornu

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 129.1¢ right now.

Decided by

The market resolves to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of the French presidential election.§2

Tied candidates

If two or more candidates tie for any position, ties are broken by alphabetical order of their listed full names as they appear in the market.§4

Third-highest position

The market resolves to the candidate in the third-highest finishing position after applying the ranking.§5

Result unknown by deadline

If the election result is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§6

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on the official results reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior.§8

Counted

Valid votes won by candidates in the first round.§3

Source

Consensus of credible reporting, and for ambiguity the official results reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior.§7

Closes

Apr 18, 2027 · 23:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.