Market · 15 of 16 outcomes
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 08:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 135 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,579+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 58 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x0708…f218 | Yes | 51 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$20.30 per $100 · 979 bets |
| helic0pter0x4b3e…cfae | Yes | 26 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 22 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 20 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 132,031 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 14 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 11 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,729 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.08 per $100 · 12,149 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 2 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 2 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.