Market · 17 of 46 outcomes
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 00:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| korETHja0xb5f6…adc3 | No | 2,500 | 90.8¢ | $2.16K | — |
| Vietnam70x3ed6…1ba2 | No | 2,253 | 93.0¢ | $1.95K | New0 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 1,655 |
| 74.5¢ |
| $1.43K |
| — |
| roscoff0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | 5,065 | 36.0¢ | $684 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 1,105 bets |
| mil950x7b51…3302 | No | 550 | 72.9¢ | $476 | — |
| Amour-2100x3134…746a | No | 429 | 78.0¢ | $371 | — |
| naishz0r0xb891…e65a | No | 400 | 73.4¢ | $346 | New61 settled bets |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | No | 337 | 86.1¢ | $292 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 268 | 83.6¢ | $232 | New69 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 231 | 54.8¢ | $200 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| DontTrustMe0x0403…a7ee | No | 193 | 59.3¢ | $167 | Proven+$26.89 per $100 · 115 bets |
| Frenchee0x45bf…c4a0 | No | 189 | 73.5¢ | $163 | — |
| OrYn640x4d76…d7a0 | Yes | 1,100 | 26.8¢ | $148 | New47 settled bets |
| datperson0x5d2f…24de | Yes | 1,048 | 21.6¢ | $141 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 134 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 148 | 46.0¢ | $128 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 132 | 77.8¢ | $114 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | No | 118 | 84.6¢ | $102 | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 1,693 bets |
| TastyCrousty0x38eb…b6d7 | No | 114 | 88.4¢ | $98 | — |
| Boudiboudou0x4a61…de2b | Yes | 700 | 42.0¢ | $95 | — |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | No | 90 | 66.3¢ | $78 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| 0x9674…47b3 | No | 89 | 63.2¢ | $77 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 68 | 87.0¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 66 | 71.8¢ | $57 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Quai-Orsay0xe41e…5aa1 | No | 65 | 83.6¢ | $56 | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | Yes | 313 | 22.0¢ | $42 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| Clepsouille0xad69…3460 | Yes | 254 | 15.5¢ | $34 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 39 | 88.0¢ | $34 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AlphaGang0xda28…469b | Yes | 229 | 24.8¢ | $31 | — |
| nthglsn0xa800…fd98 | Yes | 207 | 9.5¢ | $28 | — |
| hopolopop0x5735…239d | Yes | 160 | 8.3¢ | $22 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 20 | 91.7¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| enormous0x6bf7…f854 | Yes | 123 | 41.6¢ | $17 | New39 settled bets |
| PrometheusCapital0xde9f…3ab2 | Yes | 120 | 17.1¢ | $16 | — |
| jonrbzhqbwnc0x838b…46ed | Yes | 103 | 22.7¢ | $14 | — |
| yodc0xb755…a7c2 | Yes | 100 | 20.6¢ | $14 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 66 | 15.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,439+ bets · updating |
| petitevache0x83d0…3f7e | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $9 | — |
| sla12640xbcdb…87d9 | No | 10 | 78.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 60 | 13.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 56 | 10.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x253b…98d8 | Yes | 47 | 29.7¢ | $6 | — |
| supanova0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | 45 | 22.7¢ | $6 | — |
| davcodav0x0195…e931 | No | 6 | 89.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 85.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | 30 | 14.0¢ | $4 | — |
| bolini0xeecc…56ac | Yes | 30 | 34.6¢ | $4 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 29 | 15.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 4 | 90.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 41.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0xf560…ea74 | Yes | 18 | 17.6¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 16 | 34.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 15 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6045…3530 | Yes | 15 | 28.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AnonymeD0xced9…4e81 | No | 2 | 62.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Donalddingue0x4262…358e | No | 1 | 79.7¢ | $1 | — |
| MaxJ.0x2f82…6a55 | Yes | 8 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4a30…bc9f | No | 1 | 84.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | 5 | 24.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.04 per $100 · 2,556 bets |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 15.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$15.40 per $100 · 4,590 bets |
| Schnorrer0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | 3 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 2 | 25.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 2 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2b73…174e | Yes | 1 | 34.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 42.9¢ | $0 | — |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 0 | 65.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 1,788 bets |
| Milflove0x0945…8470 | No | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 160a0xb819…69da | No | 0 | 54.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TeenagePanda0x126e…c360 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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