Market
Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 200 | 92.0¢ | $148 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| 0x4402…d22a | No | 164 | 94.8¢ | $121 | — |
| 0xf6fb…bf4c | No | 108 | 93.1¢ | $80 | — |
| TradingToRaiseMoneyForLocalLLMServer0x8d30…c338 | Yes | 156 | 8.3¢ | $40 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 120 | 5.0¢ | $31 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 42 | 8.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 40 | 7.3¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 39 | 5.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| Betoherrera0x7fbc…8a45 | Yes | 30 | 9.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 9.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 16 | 6.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| JuanRah20xa993…91f8 | No | 3 | 72.8¢ | $2 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 5 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | 4 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 64sdfs0x86a0…2f95 | Yes | 2 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.