Market · 23 of 29 outcomes
Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 29 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 41 | 99.2¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 7,116 | 2.3¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| q9s7c73jdkke3890xe102…f569 | Yes | 5,359 | 0.2¢ | $13 | — |
| oneAce0x6727…5b6d | Yes | 2,156 | 2.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 2,027 | 2.5¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 1,605 | 2.5¢ | $4 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 1,199 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$8.57 per $100 · 7,249 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 815 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,307 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 761 | 2.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| 0x9030…60e4 | No | 2 | 99.3¢ | $2 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 578 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| 4qfrankie0xefc9…b337 | Yes | 462 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.48 per $100 · 522 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 455 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| sportkingzer0x0637…1e31 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,568 bets |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| athom0x14c2…26fa | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 178 bets |
| northstock0x56b2…2ce1 | Yes | 300 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 223 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 192 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 149 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 113 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Turbo-J0x43ac…efa9 | Yes | 101 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$36.07 per $100 · 261 bets |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | Yes | 100 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 13,963 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 94 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 82 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 79 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 45 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 29 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 26 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x7394…a14c | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| trading.desk.test0xc419…ca5b | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$63.76 per $100 · 594 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.