Market · 24 of 30 outcomes
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 30,213 | 0.1¢ | $30 | — |
| zbcoqls40xe484…4115 | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 4,088 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| Freedom-BY0xcc7c…1d18 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 725 bets |
| 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 1,300 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,169 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,611 bets |
| Barrety0x1e85…1179 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 873 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 820 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| BYPL0x88fa…fd36 | Yes | 562 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 521 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 352 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 205 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| OneChina0x2bef…9080 | Yes | 193 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd8db…1b67 | Yes | 191 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x24bb…c9f5 | Yes | 181 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| tomateman0xf90d…8642 | Yes | 169 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| WwW55555555555550x3bda…4974 | Yes | 145 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 122 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 118 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 110 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,681 bets |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| muramasa0x30e8…38b0 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5fb7…0068 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| Vivet0xe474…9b56 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| green-gt3rs0xfe8c…ad4b | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 93 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 90 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| beachboy10x2fab…5623 | Yes | 70 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 67 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 60 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 55 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| tiancs0x8301…3bdc | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1664…c71c | No | 0 | 100.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.72 per $100 · 12,552 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 25 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.