Market · 14 of 30 outcomes
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 356 | 97.8¢ | $355 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,355 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 71 | 99.7¢ | $71 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| solanalove0x3f59…f46d | No | 20 | 95.4¢ | $20 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 14,300 | 0.2¢ | $14 | Positive+$42.20 per $100 · 2,803 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 8,089 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| ClariseStarling0070xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | 4,228 | 0.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Melodrama130x9e2b…4602 | No | 4 | 96.3¢ | $4 | — |
| ToTheMoonAndBack0xfea6…a363 | Yes | 3,107 | 3.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.99 per $100 · 126 bets |
| 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | 3,099 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 2,100 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$12.25 per $100 · 3,940 bets |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 2,000 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| kildren0x0c97…1626 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| magnus7730x9dd1…1798 | Yes | 1,350 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 912 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0x4030…292f | Yes | 861 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6833…d9e8 | Yes | 764 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 616 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 591 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,002 bets |
| 0x8e6f…67e3 | Yes | 509 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 12lddd0xf503…39e2 | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| pm8888880x8b06…86e6 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| masniklas960xeca7…0eec | Yes | 272 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| asfdt290xcdb0…1581 | Yes | 260 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 211 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| FerryTayle0x52f4…1a39 | Yes | 190 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 162 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| gajistan0x90a6…f8a9 | Yes | 154 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 146 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| 0xd72b…0615 | Yes | 133 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x12e1…515a | Yes | 130 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 128 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7bf…cbef | Yes | 116 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Nostradomuscantpicklikeme0x3d60…4741 | Yes | 109 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x5fb7…0068 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| taolu0x6026…eb6f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | New92 settled bets |
| 0x733f…4e20 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| morenitos0x9f3f…1530 | Yes | 91 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 80 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,193 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 74 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 99cents0xd0bf…08f0 | Yes | 69 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NO0x7d24…a93f | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.58 per $100 · 3,589 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 67 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,279 bets |
| 0xc2ea…9478 | Yes | 63 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Tankista0x21d2…245f | Yes | 63 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 0 | 95.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,121 bets |
| Preballin0x3e49…ae9d | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 4rfvpm101qaz0xdc62…1eb3 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| layerzero10x1e2a…f0a6 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | — |
| milday0x7b97…c117 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| pepeexchange0xbd63…ddd5 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.