Market · 5 of 7 outcomes
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cat-dog0x7056…c95c | No | 2,050 | 95.7¢ | $2K | Positive+$21.47 per $100 · 139 bets |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 1,258 | 96.3¢ | $1.23K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,357 bets |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 603 | 93.1¢ | $588 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | No | 260 | 92.1¢ | $253 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 240 | 92.6¢ | $234 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 184 | 92.2¢ | $179 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,057 bets |
| Flyyer0x3980…eda5 | No | 135 | 97.1¢ | $132 | — |
| rebekahrichards0x6980…7bef | No | 128 | 93.5¢ | $125 | — |
| Kilo220xb315…3f95 | No | 124 | 97.0¢ | $121 | — |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | No | 120 | 93.0¢ | $117 | Losing−$11.06 per $100 · 306 bets |
| eddiehancock0x2c28…527c | No | 118 | 92.4¢ | $115 | — |
| patriciadowns0x1754…a415 | No | 115 | 95.9¢ | $112 | — |
| GravityQ0xbeb2…2de1 | No | 114 | 92.2¢ | $111 | — |
| briana380x6e8d…6301 | No | 112 | 96.7¢ | $109 | — |
| ericreyes0x2f78…9b65 | No | 112 | 96.4¢ | $109 | — |
| SimbaP0x6ac5…d7ce | No | 111 | 96.6¢ | $108 | — |
| imoses0x96c3…e387 | No | 110 | 95.0¢ | $108 | — |
| dylanmclaughlin0x63fc…daf7 | No | 110 | 97.9¢ | $108 | — |
| jordanleach0xc6f5…6695 | No | 110 | 97.9¢ | $107 | — |
| jimeneztaylor0x5c21…8b0b | No | 107 | 97.0¢ | $104 | — |
| margaretcortez0x3ce9…65d9 | No | 106 | 97.5¢ | $103 | — |
| Raidloner0xf240…f825 | No | 105 | 95.0¢ | $103 | — |
| jorgehowars0x0beb…2602 | No | 53 | 97.7¢ | $52 | New29 settled bets |
| vikanaft409140x135a…b4ed | No | 53 | 97.9¢ | $52 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 42 | 96.8¢ | $41 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GREYER0x86eb…5864 | No | 40 | 92.6¢ | $39 | — |
| BetsAhead0x0002…56c9 | Yes | 1,216 | 5.8¢ | $32 | — |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 1,177 | 4.3¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| ExYeet0xddc5…412a | No | 29 | 93.2¢ | $28 | — |
| AnderssonErik0x67f7…b0a7 | No | 27 | 96.8¢ | $27 | — |
| 12beduins0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | 934 | 7.0¢ | $24 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 24 | 95.8¢ | $23 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| JorisvandenBerg0x3684…2208 | No | 23 | 96.6¢ | $22 | — |
| TimoBakker0xda7c…0925 | No | 21 | 97.3¢ | $21 | — |
| TessWillems0x07ba…5714 | No | 20 | 96.3¢ | $20 | — |
| ErikAndersson0x89d7…6c04 | No | 20 | 92.5¢ | $20 | — |
| AndreiPopescu0x733a…907a | No | 20 | 92.2¢ | $19 | — |
| ArtursKalnins0x86d0…b93f | No | 19 | 96.2¢ | $19 | — |
| Rurik50xe25c…ae63 | No | 18 | 95.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.55 per $100 · 2,273 bets |
| supermeow0xde0f…a4e7 | No | 16 | 97.1¢ | $16 | — |
| VatnikPride0x2384…3e0b | Yes | 600 | 8.4¢ | $16 | — |
| abdoohl0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | 586 | 4.1¢ | $15 | — |
| LeonHoffmann0x064f…14e4 | No | 15 | 93.2¢ | $15 | — |
| BenediktKrause0xea26…ba33 | No | 15 | 94.6¢ | $14 | — |
| FinnWagner0xdf5e…5ed6 | No | 14 | 95.4¢ | $14 | — |
| Trevorik0x46a0…61b7 | No | 13 | 95.1¢ | $12 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 450 | 5.5¢ | $12 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 10 | 97.6¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 10 | 89.9¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| 0x3af3…6214 | Yes | 326 | 3.1¢ | $8 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 242 | 6.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | 200 | 4.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 5 | 94.8¢ | $5 | — |
| ObamAisAhomo0xe913…4b84 | Yes | 190 | 6.4¢ | $5 | — |
| biggothgirlboots0xef5f…7334 | No | 5 | 97.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Allcap0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | 165 | 10.7¢ | $4 | — |
| pink.impala0x9c97…4569 | Yes | 152 | 7.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 387 bets |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 150 | 4.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 3 | 80.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Suet-Lam0xed19…cb5e | No | 2 | 79.0¢ | $2 | — |
| fabiozzer89890x26d8…547c | No | 2 | 97.7¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 74 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| Andyjosef146660x890a…ea10 | Yes | 57 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 7.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| GDV82a0xcb95…611e | Yes | 50 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| henos0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | 49 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.90 per $100 · 455 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 45 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| berthiaumekiki0x6de0…8b87 | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 39 | 7.8¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 10.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 28 | 5.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| adspokposs0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | 26 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 23 | 10.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,502 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jiarijing0x31b8…f929 | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| MusakaKing0x7727…15a4 | Yes | 14 | 7.2¢ | $0 | — |
| vale.glez0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 5 | 8.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 5 | 8.8¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 3 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 95.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 0 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| keybo0xc71b…e265 | Yes | 0 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Kenyonow0x2758…cbde | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| vivi40240x38a8…865a | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Valestone0x70eb…3a7f | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| artetnelel0x9a54…5510 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| purebaby0xe23b…f147 | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 0 | 8.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.