Market · 4 of 7 outcomes
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cat-dog0x7056…c95c | No | 2,500 | 94.6¢ | $2.41K | Positive+$21.47 per $100 · 139 bets |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 2,094 | 95.2¢ | $2.02K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,357 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No | 1,996 | 92.7¢ | $1.92K | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| BloodyMummer0xffb0…fa37 | No | 1,255 | 58.2¢ | $1.21K | — |
| itsfomo0x6165…a600 | No | 1,000 | 90.0¢ | $963 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 5556666sdfsdf0xcd7b…596d | No | 621 | 93.5¢ | $598 | — |
| Berthaqwe0xc5ee…647c | No | 611 | 93.2¢ | $588 | — |
| huohuo23450xd4e2…877c | No | 606 | 93.5¢ | $583 | — |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 588 | 93.6¢ | $566 | — |
| xdf30x28ee…bcd0 | No | 563 | 93.5¢ | $542 | — |
| Berniceghf0x6513…1908 | No | 562 | 93.2¢ | $541 | — |
| huohou1110x18ff…f634 | No | 553 | 93.5¢ | $532 | — |
| Barney4540x15a9…fd4b | No | 541 | 93.5¢ | $521 | — |
| Barnett230xaf31…8586 | No | 502 | 93.5¢ | $483 | — |
| Nardo990xbb9f…1893 | No | 500 | 94.0¢ | $481 | — |
| 44445555hjgjjj0xa682…bbc0 | No | 453 | 93.5¢ | $436 | — |
| controls0x165e…f5aa | No | 397 | 93.3¢ | $382 | Proven+$9.06 per $100 · 895 bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 311 | 90.7¢ | $300 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| tradervader0xd7e6…4f99 | No | 302 | 95.0¢ | $291 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| Lvdttl0x065f…6bd5 | No | 217 | 92.3¢ | $208 | — |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 200 | 92.7¢ | $193 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 200 | 93.6¢ | $193 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 177 | 95.2¢ | $170 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 164 | 88.9¢ | $157 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| Raidloner0xf240…f825 | No | 159 | 94.2¢ | $153 | — |
| asdwq30xe154…ada8 | Yes | 3,839 | 6.5¢ | $144 | — |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | 3,312 | 6.6¢ | $124 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| dereklawrence0xe0f1…f77f | No | 118 | 92.0¢ | $114 | — |
| bradley190x1c77…5646 | No | 117 | 92.0¢ | $113 | — |
| kathywilson0x7716…ec98 | No | 117 | 92.0¢ | $112 | — |
| olsoncurtis0x6c8a…9d68 | No | 117 | 92.0¢ | $112 | — |
| rosejones0x8916…c4b3 | No | 116 | 92.1¢ | $112 | — |
| philip550x13ff…59dd | No | 116 | 92.0¢ | $112 | — |
| perkinsjonathan0xc832…bc29 | No | 116 | 92.0¢ | $112 | — |
| watsonharold0x1530…1fc0 | No | 116 | 93.0¢ | $112 | — |
| gabrielpayne0xfb76…221a | No | 116 | 92.4¢ | $111 | — |
| hilldebbie0x4520…bcb8 | No | 115 | 93.9¢ | $111 | — |
| kurt850x2cc0…d826 | No | 115 | 92.0¢ | $111 | — |
| jonathondaniels0xe083…dfac | No | 115 | 93.4¢ | $110 | — |
| tasha060x8739…9a75 | No | 115 | 92.0¢ | $110 | — |
| allisonho0xfce5…848f | No | 113 | 94.0¢ | $108 | — |
| Versys70xc33a…65bb | No | 109 | 95.6¢ | $105 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 100 | 94.5¢ | $96 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| John.Gault0x8fa0…72d6 | No | 100 | 94.7¢ | $96 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 94 | 90.0¢ | $91 | — |
| 0x066f…2e56 | Yes | 1,858 | 5.4¢ | $70 | — |
| Chia0x2bd2…c21b | Yes | 1,639 | 7.0¢ | $61 | New46 settled bets |
| sleepysamoed0x131b…1ede | No | 60 | 94.5¢ | $58 | New18 settled bets |
| BetsAhead0x0002…56c9 | Yes | 1,536 | 7.6¢ | $58 | — |
| lobsterpootapov0x9959…8539 | No | 58 | 94.5¢ | $56 | — |
| Huevers0xc80f…7bc7 | No | 57 | 94.5¢ | $55 | — |
| loctar00450x07ae…a897 | No | 57 | 94.1¢ | $55 | — |
| Voltoger0xfffe…4e6c | No | 56 | 94.3¢ | $54 | — |
| abdoohl0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | 1,285 | 8.1¢ | $48 | — |
| nocaptimetocash0xf0bb…9dbf | No | 50 | 94.0¢ | $48 | — |
| pink.impala0x9c97…4569 | Yes | 1,261 | 6.8¢ | $47 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 387 bets |
| ubuntucheburashka0xa28d…3572 | No | 49 | 94.8¢ | $47 | — |
| xiaohuo23230x97d0…0b3f | Yes | 1,173 | 6.8¢ | $44 | — |
| 12beduins0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | 1,146 | 7.4¢ | $43 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,001 | 4.7¢ | $38 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| henos0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | 252 | 4.3¢ | $9 | Proven+$4.90 per $100 · 455 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 210 | 7.2¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| MuchAdo2BRN2B0xfad4…a210 | Yes | 200 | 8.5¢ | $7 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 196 | 6.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| Allcap0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | 178 | 9.3¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x3af3…6214 | Yes | 152 | 6.4¢ | $6 | — |
| VatnikPride0x2384…3e0b | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ObamAisAhomo0xe913…4b84 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 82 | 4.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 80 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 4.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 51 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 8.1¢ | $2 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 50 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.79 per $100 · 2,180 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 44 | 6.9¢ | $2 | — |
| GDV82a0xcb95…611e | Yes | 31 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 19 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x1508…2e0b | Yes | 19 | 5.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Tanxuan-poker0xe196…b2b8 | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mictell0x87c5…546d | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| vale.glez0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | 8 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 3 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 95.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 1 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 1 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.01 per $100 · 106,178+ bets · updating |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 0 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9fd7…b0f5 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| resilience260x16da…05c0 | Yes | 0 | 7.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| purebaby0xe23b…f147 | Yes | 0 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,087 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.