Market · 3 of 7 outcomes
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No | 4,193 | 75.4¢ | $3.88K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| viktorurolog160xcf9e…518e | No | 3,168 | 74.2¢ | $2.93K | — |
| vakulchik0x741d…e35c | No | 2,405 | 74.8¢ | $2.22K | — |
| sabsabinxz0xd3ec…6603 | No | 1,757 | 80.6¢ | $1.63K | Proven+$23.86 per $100 · 101 bets |
| DumbOracle0xa9ec…57d5 | No | 1,667 | 77.2¢ | $1.54K | — |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 1,457 | 77.8¢ | $1.35K | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| BloodyMummer0xffb0…fa37 | No | 1,237 | 75.2¢ | $1.14K | — |
| AuthenticDemigod0x7487…fc0c | No | 1,200 | 88.5¢ | $1.11K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 346 bets |
| mrkinetiq0xb48b…04eb | No | 1,157 | 76.7¢ | $1.07K | — |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 1,148 | 76.6¢ | $1.06K | — |
| tradervader0xd7e6…4f99 | No | 1,041 | 82.3¢ | $963 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | No | 753 | 79.6¢ | $696 | — |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 750 | 77.0¢ | $694 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| VytautasBaltus0xef95…88c0 | Yes | 9,100 | 11.0¢ | $683 | — |
| Coldonn1010xe6fd…8bc3 | No | 705 | 87.0¢ | $652 | — |
| Barcide0xd04d…3dda | No | 672 | 89.2¢ | $622 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 777 bets |
| FoolingAround0x0f4f…7039 | No | 600 | 83.4¢ | $555 | — |
| zetbetter0x6512…5291 | No | 500 | 88.0¢ | $463 | Proven+$4.12 per $100 · 680 bets |
| 0xde6a…ec4e | No | 470 | 84.0¢ | $435 | — |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 443 | 78.1¢ | $410 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 304 | 77.2¢ | $282 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No | 300 | 88.2¢ | $278 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
| Demigivan0x558d…5a10 | No | 260 | 82.6¢ | $241 | — |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 255 | 78.3¢ | $236 | New0 settled bets |
| Donkolo0x43f0…1b3d | Yes | 3,000 | 19.6¢ | $225 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 200 | 76.8¢ | $185 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| giroumcnahets0xc105…9dd9 | No | 200 | 75.0¢ | $185 | — |
| BenjaminNetAnYahoo0xfb46…f68b | No | 192 | 78.0¢ | $178 | — |
| Ko9science0xd7be…539f | No | 190 | 71.0¢ | $175 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,210 | 12.8¢ | $166 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| PsinaVesta0x82e6…20e2 | Yes | 2,108 | 24.7¢ | $158 | — |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 2,053 | 11.5¢ | $154 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| Stitch-X-6260x0c73…1a76 | No | 146 | 76.8¢ | $135 | — |
| alean0x7216…cb34 | Yes | 1,731 | 18.9¢ | $130 | Losing−$17.84 per $100 · 194 bets |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 139 | 78.9¢ | $128 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| eetum0xdb97…db09 | No | 132 | 77.0¢ | $123 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 132 | 85.7¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | Yes | 1,625 | 16.0¢ | $122 | Proven+$12.28 per $100 · 3,035 bets |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 117 | 76.2¢ | $108 | — |
| re4der0x91c5…c7bb | No | 112 | 89.0¢ | $104 | Proven+$8.23 per $100 · 447 bets |
| 0xd113…09c6 | No | 109 | 93.0¢ | $100 | — |
| Rurik50xe25c…ae63 | No | 100 | 84.0¢ | $93 | Proven+$2.55 per $100 · 2,273 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 100 | 77.0¢ | $93 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| John.Gault0x8fa0…72d6 | No | 100 | 75.0¢ | $93 | — |
| Phenium0xe9f2…ddd0 | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $92 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 623 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 1,214 | 26.4¢ | $91 | — |
| 0x4e83…a81f | No | 94 | 76.1¢ | $87 | — |
| Mobilc0xe855…a4ad | Yes | 1,000 | 14.0¢ | $75 | — |
| abdoohl0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | 963 | 24.0¢ | $72 | — |
| 0xb943…9bbe | No | 76 | 79.1¢ | $70 | — |
| slapikayte0xd95e…ffa8 | No | 73 | 83.3¢ | $68 | — |
| 0xf7fe…07cf | No | 61 | 75.0¢ | $57 | — |
| PrviGrah0x9d08…0fa6 | No | 58 | 86.0¢ | $54 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 56 | 89.0¢ | $52 | New42 settled bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 54 | 88.0¢ | $50 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| asterley0xe762…064b | Yes | 630 | 16.4¢ | $47 | — |
| henos0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | 624 | 16.5¢ | $47 | Proven+$4.90 per $100 · 455 bets |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | No | 50 | 74.2¢ | $46 | Losing−$11.06 per $100 · 306 bets |
| Pauliux0xf853…21d0 | No | 50 | 80.0¢ | $46 | — |
| Lvrya0x0816…377a | No | 50 | 56.0¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x066f…2e56 | Yes | 607 | 25.8¢ | $46 | — |
| AVO0x94e4…b7cf | No | 44 | 70.8¢ | $41 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 513 | 14.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| efedorov0x523f…696c | No | 30 | 79.0¢ | $28 | — |
| BetsAhead0x0002…56c9 | Yes | 358 | 22.4¢ | $27 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 198 | 7.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| Mithra0x73d2…2ed6 | Yes | 188 | 16.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Anonnnn24090x9b22…3a92 | Yes | 160 | 21.7¢ | $12 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 154 | 13.9¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 5.6sol0x5709…22c3 | Yes | 150 | 20.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xf453…a674 | Yes | 109 | 17.2¢ | $8 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 9.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| VatnikPride0x2384…3e0b | Yes | 100 | 24.0¢ | $7 | — |
| NoPasaran50x29a1…5645 | Yes | 72 | 20.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 733 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 72 | 23.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| filepin0x718b…1bf2 | Yes | 71 | 25.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | Yes | 60 | 19.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| Volku0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | 60 | 21.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$81.54 per $100 · 148 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 52 | 17.2¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| nizi150x4177…57df | Yes | 45 | 22.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$48.00 per $100 · 191 bets |
| 0xad57…ec9d | Yes | 42 | 12.0¢ | $3 | — |
| IamBatman-0xf9e1…e46f | Yes | 40 | 28.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ObamAisAhomo0xe913…4b84 | Yes | 40 | 20.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 39 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Allcap0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | 37 | 23.8¢ | $3 | — |
| lighter3000x5b8d…a1ae | Yes | 36 | 16.6¢ | $3 | — |
| elgogd0x22e2…42d6 | Yes | 32 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 25.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 27 | 14.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| glchst0xa370…6b5b | Yes | 25 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 23 | 21.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 36.0¢ | $2 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 18 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SonataElPatrona0x0dea…f9cd | Yes | 18 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 12 | 31.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| ssdgfgs0x0f8c…e076 | Yes | 12 | 25.6¢ | $1 | — |
| djolence3530x59f6…64ee | Yes | 11 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lll981kd0x33c4…4ad5 | Yes | 10 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 4,080 bets |
| 8dddj0x78cb…c94e | Yes | 10 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 4,000 bets |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | 10 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.