Market · 2 of 7 outcomes
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No | 6,423 | 70.7¢ | $5.84K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| sabsabinxz0xd3ec…6603 | No | 4,764 | 76.6¢ | $4.34K | Proven+$23.86 per $100 · 101 bets |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 3,438 | 86.9¢ | $3.13K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| vakulchik0x741d…e35c | No | 3,131 | 73.5¢ | $2.85K | New70 settled bets |
| DumbOracle0xa9ec…57d5 | No | 2,661 | 82.3¢ | $2.42K | — |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 1,780 | 73.7¢ | $1.62K | — |
| mrkinetiq0xb48b…04eb | No | 1,714 | 83.0¢ | $1.56K | — |
| Kwon1230x5da1…54a3 | No | 1,534 | 85.0¢ | $1.4K | New11 settled bets |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 13,559 | 25.5¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| BloodyMummer0xffb0…fa37 | No | 1,332 | 82.4¢ | $1.21K | — |
| tradervader0xd7e6…4f99 | No | 1,200 | 78.0¢ | $1.09K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| zve3da0xc948…33a1 | No | 1,176 | 85.0¢ | $1.07K | New44 settled bets |
| VytautasBaltus0xef95…88c0 | Yes | 7,289 | 15.1¢ | $656 | — |
| 0xde6a…ec4e | No | 705 | 71.0¢ | $642 | — |
| trubushgermai0xaa4b…1381 | No | 699 | 81.9¢ | $636 | — |
| viktorurolog160xcf9e…518e | No | 688 | 74.7¢ | $626 | — |
| FoolingAround0x0f4f…7039 | No | 610 | 82.0¢ | $555 | — |
| georgeSt0x2cb5…553b | No | 592 | 85.0¢ | $539 | New4 settled bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 459 | 78.9¢ | $417 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 383 | 74.4¢ | $349 | New0 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 3,685 | 23.7¢ | $332 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| itsfomo0x6165…a600 | No | 314 | 80.0¢ | $286 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 119 bets |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 313 | 80.2¢ | $285 | Losing−$2.71 per $100 · 372 bets |
| zetbetter0x6512…5291 | No | 309 | 81.0¢ | $281 | Proven+$4.14 per $100 · 683 bets |
| alean0x7216…cb34 | Yes | 3,065 | 20.6¢ | $276 | Losing−$17.84 per $100 · 194 bets |
| cooldisplayname0x610a…cb39 | No | 301 | 83.0¢ | $274 | New72 settled bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 300 | 75.4¢ | $273 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No | 300 | 85.0¢ | $273 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 300 | 77.6¢ | $273 | Proven+$7.57 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| Barcide0xd04d…3dda | No | 291 | 86.0¢ | $264 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 777 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 281 | 73.7¢ | $256 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Demigivan0x558d…5a10 | No | 276 | 78.0¢ | $251 | — |
| Donkolo0x43f0…1b3d | Yes | 2,600 | 26.1¢ | $234 | — |
| lefler0xc5b9…cd1f | No | 255 | 77.0¢ | $232 | — |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | No | 250 | 80.0¢ | $228 | Proven+$16.25 per $100 · 885 bets |
| eetum0xdb97…db09 | No | 249 | 71.6¢ | $226 | — |
| czvxks0x081d…f3f4 | No | 206 | 80.0¢ | $187 | — |
| eratoxtenex0x0b65…013e | No | 200 | 80.0¢ | $182 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 846 bets |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | Yes | 1,809 | 17.4¢ | $163 | Proven+$12.28 per $100 · 3,035 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 170 | 84.5¢ | $155 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| re4der0x91c5…c7bb | No | 153 | 85.0¢ | $139 | Proven+$8.23 per $100 · 447 bets |
| Stitch-X-6260x0c73…1a76 | No | 142 | 82.8¢ | $129 | — |
| ArtM0xc924…63b9 | No | 139 | 72.0¢ | $126 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 129 | 80.6¢ | $117 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,001 bets |
| 0x9399…8428 | No | 123 | 80.9¢ | $112 | — |
| 0xd113…09c6 | No | 112 | 90.0¢ | $102 | — |
| John.Gault0x8fa0…72d6 | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $91 | — |
| Mobilc0xe855…a4ad | Yes | 1,000 | 19.0¢ | $90 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 908 | 6.6¢ | $82 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| 0xb943…9bbe | No | 83 | 72.5¢ | $75 | — |
| asterley0xe762…064b | Yes | 765 | 17.6¢ | $69 | — |
| ClarksonStreet0x02d3…2327 | No | 65 | 82.9¢ | $59 | — |
| spaceloaf0xa99c…08b4 | No | 60 | 82.0¢ | $55 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 59 | 85.0¢ | $54 | New42 settled bets |
| GekkeHenkie230x5c3a…d4f4 | No | 59 | 85.0¢ | $54 | New31 settled bets |
| Greysok0xe443…c065 | No | 58 | 57.0¢ | $53 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 520 | 14.0¢ | $47 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| rontro280x0330…eb8f | No | 50 | 83.9¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x066f…2e56 | Yes | 500 | 28.8¢ | $45 | — |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 412 | 24.1¢ | $37 | — |
| AVO0x94e4…b7cf | No | 40 | 59.5¢ | $36 | — |
| Biomaster0x4add…8cdf | No | 40 | 80.3¢ | $36 | — |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | 392 | 22.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| BetsAhead0x0002…56c9 | Yes | 331 | 18.2¢ | $30 | — |
| Anonnnn24090x9b22…3a92 | Yes | 241 | 19.5¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x8897…c4bf | Yes | 238 | 21.1¢ | $21 | — |
| purebaby0xe23b…f147 | Yes | 236 | 8.3¢ | $21 | — |
| NoPasaran50x29a1…5645 | Yes | 161 | 19.1¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 733 bets |
| 0x3af3…6214 | Yes | 156 | 17.5¢ | $14 | — |
| VatnikPride0x2384…3e0b | Yes | 144 | 20.1¢ | $13 | — |
| Mithra0x73d2…2ed6 | Yes | 143 | 21.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Pantheon10x606e…6b3a | Yes | 135 | 30.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 477 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 108 | 24.6¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,893 bets |
| Allcap0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | 98 | 22.5¢ | $9 | — |
| PeterEriksson0xc7e7…40b4 | Yes | 73 | 10.3¢ | $7 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 71 | 28.0¢ | $6 | — |
| elgogd0x22e2…42d6 | Yes | 67 | 15.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 65 | 15.7¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 60 | 15.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| lordgamble0x7d58…462d | Yes | 60 | 13.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ObamAisAhomo0xe913…4b84 | Yes | 60 | 17.5¢ | $5 | — |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | Yes | 56 | 15.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | 50 | 14.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.04 per $100 · 4,142 bets |
| Rast0xaf33…1e17 | Yes | 50 | 20.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf453…a674 | Yes | 50 | 21.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 42 | 9.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 40 | 9.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| nizi150x4177…57df | Yes | 33 | 30.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$48.00 per $100 · 191 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 25.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xcd7b…ddbe | Yes | 29 | 19.1¢ | $3 | — |
| lighter3000x5b8d…a1ae | Yes | 28 | 21.0¢ | $3 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 25 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,975 bets |
| glchst0xa370…6b5b | Yes | 25 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7082…3a10 | Yes | 24 | 22.3¢ | $2 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 20 | 28.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 18 | 21.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,087 bets |
| SonataElPatrona0x0dea…f9cd | Yes | 17 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 16 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Itz-the-catwoman0xdb25…b180 | Yes | 14 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| G-Man.0x1445…83b4 | Yes | 10 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.