Market · 6 of 7 outcomes
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 1,438 | 93.5¢ | $1.41K | — |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 402 | 97.7¢ | $394 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,357 bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 400 | 91.0¢ | $391 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| Raidloner0xf240…f825 | No | 211 | 94.7¢ | $207 | — |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 200 | 92.0¢ | $196 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 161 | 93.0¢ | $158 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 0x9399…8428 | No | 153 | 90.6¢ | $149 | — |
| re4der0x91c5…c7bb | No | 100 | 92.0¢ | $98 | Proven+$8.23 per $100 · 447 bets |
| Rurik50xe25c…ae63 | No | 100 | 92.0¢ | $98 | Proven+$2.55 per $100 · 2,273 bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | No | 62 | 85.9¢ | $61 | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 62 | 97.3¢ | $61 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| Jean-Claude3220x2dca…4bc5 | No | 58 | 94.9¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 988 bets |
| spaceloaf0xa99c…08b4 | No | 54 | 93.0¢ | $53 | — |
| Lumynx0x1a73…94d1 | No | 30 | 94.0¢ | $29 | — |
| artisresistance0x91d7…5cf7 | No | 25 | 91.0¢ | $24 | — |
| ExYeet0xddc5…412a | No | 15 | 91.0¢ | $15 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 480 | 4.6¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 386 | 2.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 359 | 2.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| BetsAhead0x0002…56c9 | Yes | 358 | 8.4¢ | $8 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 289 | 5.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 5 | 94.3¢ | $5 | — |
| DamianSyjon0x715e…3e22 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.00 per $100 · 111 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| 0x4f45…783b | No | 5 | 97.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 222 | 9.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| Andyjosef146660x890a…ea10 | Yes | 217 | 2.5¢ | $5 | — |
| VatnikPride0x2384…3e0b | Yes | 200 | 10.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xb953…de61 | No | 4 | 91.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 150 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 140 | 5.4¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| abdoohl0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | 137 | 3.2¢ | $3 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| ObamAisAhomo0xe913…4b84 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Biomaster0x4add…8cdf | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xbcd7…5c78 | No | 2 | 93.5¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 61 | 3.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| 12beduins0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | 51 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| slapikayte0xd95e…ffa8 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 49 | 8.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| srl0x11cb…e8c0 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 38 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 27 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 25 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pink.impala0x9c97…4569 | Yes | 25 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 387 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GDV82a0xcb95…611e | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 18 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 0 | 90.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| ClarksonStreet0x02d3…2327 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| BelaZuchi0xd62b…ceec | Yes | 0 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| artetnelel0x9a54…5510 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.