Market · 1 of 7 outcomes
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| viktorurolog160xcf9e…518e | No | 21,619 | 63.7¢ | $13.8K | — |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No | 10,259 | 62.1¢ | $6.57K | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 8,765 | 67.2¢ | $5.61K | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| VytautasBaltus0xef95…88c0 | Yes | 14,304 | 36.3¢ | $5.15K | — |
| Donkolo0x43f0…1b3d | Yes | 14,192 | 42.6¢ | $5.11K | — |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | No | 6,207 | 69.0¢ | $3.97K | — |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No | 5,258 | 53.9¢ | $3.37K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| Rexfer0xf257…7085 | Yes | 7,623 | 29.7¢ | $2.74K | — |
| SadBenua0x0a58…4508 | Yes | 6,562 | 36.9¢ | $2.36K | — |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 3,549 | 56.7¢ | $2.27K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| Mobilc0xe855…a4ad | Yes | 6,000 | 39.7¢ | $2.16K | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 3,300 | 62.2¢ | $2.11K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| Strarper0xd849…59d6 | Yes | 4,797 | 36.5¢ | $1.73K | — |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 3,476 | 35.0¢ | $1.25K | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,815 bets |
| Jon380x3bf4…fa27 | No | 1,764 | 57.2¢ | $1.13K | — |
| FoolingAround0x0f4f…7039 | No | 1,731 | 68.7¢ | $1.11K | — |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | 2,883 | 46.0¢ | $1.04K | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| 2KTrade0xbde4…6109 | No | 1,546 | 62.0¢ | $990 | New76 settled bets |
| 0x1156…5eb4 | No | 1,519 | 59.5¢ | $972 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,484 | 62.5¢ | $950 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| PsinaVesta0x82e6…20e2 | Yes | 2,059 | 33.7¢ | $741 | — |
| macanga0x9ca5…ee30 | Yes | 2,010 | 49.8¢ | $724 | — |
| firewalker9230xef54…c997 | No | 1,061 | 47.3¢ | $679 | — |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 1,044 | 53.5¢ | $668 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| alean0x7216…cb34 | Yes | 1,802 | 36.8¢ | $649 | Losing−$17.84 per $100 · 194 bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 1,000 | 62.0¢ | $640 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| AuthenticDemigod0x7487…fc0c | No | 1,000 | 67.0¢ | $640 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 346 bets |
| Dafri2202860x2908…91f5 | No | 847 | 59.0¢ | $542 | New22 settled bets |
| Barcide0xd04d…3dda | No | 801 | 62.4¢ | $513 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 777 bets |
| vakulchik0x741d…e35c | No | 799 | 56.3¢ | $511 | — |
| Coldonn1010xe6fd…8bc3 | No | 774 | 59.2¢ | $495 | — |
| Greysok0xe443…c065 | Yes | 1,352 | 48.7¢ | $487 | — |
| 0x066f…2e56 | Yes | 1,282 | 42.8¢ | $462 | — |
| Shergi0x888a…5db2 | Yes | 1,268 | 31.0¢ | $456 | — |
| 123erty0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | 1,193 | 32.9¢ | $430 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 385 bets |
| henos0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | 1,152 | 36.5¢ | $415 | Proven+$4.90 per $100 · 455 bets |
| re4der0x91c5…c7bb | Yes | 1,100 | 30.5¢ | $396 | Proven+$8.23 per $100 · 447 bets |
| Demigivan0x558d…5a10 | No | 600 | 50.0¢ | $384 | — |
| Sigony0xab35…c040 | Yes | 1,023 | 33.1¢ | $368 | — |
| Sibasi0x886e…2736 | Yes | 958 | 35.0¢ | $345 | — |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | Yes | 950 | 45.1¢ | $342 | Proven+$12.28 per $100 · 3,035 bets |
| Uinko0x7599…ff8b | Yes | 877 | 35.0¢ | $316 | — |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | No | 475 | 65.9¢ | $304 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,875 bets |
| pupsiko0x3ac3…c010 | Yes | 830 | 35.0¢ | $299 | — |
| rebro0xc924…3375 | Yes | 754 | 33.0¢ | $271 | — |
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No | 417 | 70.0¢ | $267 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| sigal0x7cf6…f40a | Yes | 726 | 35.5¢ | $262 | — |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 400 | 50.0¢ | $256 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | No | 400 | 61.5¢ | $256 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 931 bets |
| bissektrisa0x8415…7eb0 | Yes | 704 | 36.5¢ | $253 | — |
| Pauliux0xf853…21d0 | No | 395 | 48.0¢ | $253 | — |
| cooldisplayname0x610a…cb39 | No | 388 | 67.0¢ | $248 | New72 settled bets |
| asterley0xe762…064b | Yes | 669 | 47.0¢ | $241 | — |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 376 | 53.2¢ | $241 | New0 settled bets |
| Voltoger0xfffe…4e6c | No | 375 | 62.4¢ | $240 | — |
| 0xaa25…f360 | Yes | 600 | 33.0¢ | $216 | — |
| singularity.0xc018…ead1 | No | 326 | 65.6¢ | $209 | — |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 325 | 61.6¢ | $208 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 305 | 64.9¢ | $195 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 295 | 54.2¢ | $189 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| regentt0x7f03…0a92 | No | 265 | 67.0¢ | $170 | — |
| Johndorito0x189d…981b | No | 247 | 60.0¢ | $158 | — |
| kacht0x900d…15f3 | Yes | 418 | 35.4¢ | $150 | — |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 400 | 46.1¢ | $144 | — |
| Jean-Claude3220x2dca…4bc5 | No | 221 | 67.0¢ | $141 | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 988 bets |
| TheManInTheSky0x4bc2…597a | Yes | 377 | 53.0¢ | $136 | Break-even−$0.58 per $100 · 566 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 206 | 59.0¢ | $132 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Jet90x8705…8354 | No | 200 | 64.2¢ | $128 | Proven+$8.39 per $100 · 490 bets |
| petruccci0x9370…9e88 | No | 200 | 66.0¢ | $128 | — |
| ArtM0xc924…63b9 | No | 192 | 52.0¢ | $123 | — |
| filthymudeok0xbbe3…5b92 | No | 186 | 53.0¢ | $119 | Losing−$11.70 per $100 · 325 bets |
| 0xf7fe…07cf | No | 186 | 62.2¢ | $119 | — |
| Vanga30000xf5e8…a1ce | No | 177 | 65.3¢ | $113 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 300 | 39.0¢ | $108 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0xd113…09c6 | No | 155 | 65.0¢ | $99 | — |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 150 | 71.0¢ | $96 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| Aes10240x20a2…207d | Yes | 250 | 51.6¢ | $90 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 135 | 66.2¢ | $87 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | No | 132 | 62.6¢ | $85 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 118 | 59.9¢ | $76 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 200 | 49.5¢ | $72 | — |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 109 | 63.0¢ | $70 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| Gulgaio0x973e…37dc | No | 106 | 56.4¢ | $68 | — |
| 0x8897…c4bf | Yes | 184 | 49.2¢ | $66 | — |
| Anonnnn24090x9b22…3a92 | Yes | 178 | 45.7¢ | $64 | — |
| VatnikPride0x2384…3e0b | Yes | 135 | 38.3¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x4b7d…cdb3 | Yes | 114 | 44.2¢ | $41 | New14 settled bets |
| DaveFromCave0xf3c0…90f5 | Yes | 113 | 52.3¢ | $41 | — |
| miodrag3330x44cb…e3d8 | Yes | 104 | 48.0¢ | $37 | — |
| BetsAhead0x0002…56c9 | Yes | 104 | 28.9¢ | $37 | — |
| latvianboy0x5bae…2955 | Yes | 100 | 33.0¢ | $36 | New25 settled bets |
| Mithra0x73d2…2ed6 | Yes | 100 | 30.0¢ | $36 | — |
| amir-init0x0821…41fb | Yes | 91 | 38.5¢ | $33 | — |
| m.gringo0xfaa1…bf41 | Yes | 85 | 41.1¢ | $31 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 83 | 33.2¢ | $30 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| marketp0x4fd8…0d38 | Yes | 80 | 50.1¢ | $29 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 75 | 31.6¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| elgogd0x22e2…42d6 | Yes | 69 | 29.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Pantheon10x606e…6b3a | Yes | 63 | 38.0¢ | $23 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 477 bets |
| PraDo0x00ee…9a7d | Yes | 61 | 49.0¢ | $22 | Proven+$5.58 per $100 · 106 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.