Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 5,396 | 80.5¢ | $4.51K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 4,862 | 84.1¢ | $4.06K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| GaioMario0x94d0…9e65 | No | 1,685 | 80.5¢ | $1.41K | — |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | Yes | 7,233 | 16.7¢ | $1.19K | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 1,185 | 79.7¢ | $990 | — |
| GlockShoot0x0a00…60aa | No | 789 | 83.7¢ | $659 | — |
| MrBlackistone0x04af…9a07 | Yes | 3,136 | 18.3¢ | $517 | — |
| SubashChandraBose0xf01a…f231 | No | 508 | 82.7¢ | $424 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 420 | 85.6¢ | $351 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| serferer0xdc70…cc56 | No | 340 | 83.4¢ | $284 | — |
| CryptoGo0x129d…7d2d | Yes | 1,687 | 18.8¢ | $278 | Positive+$3.41 per $100 · 177 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 311 | 81.9¢ | $260 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 246 | 83.1¢ | $205 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| 0xa6cf…af3b | Yes | 1,237 | 16.2¢ | $204 | — |
| GabiFP0x65d4…b7e3 | No | 225 | 88.9¢ | $188 | Proven+$11.19 per $100 · 376 bets |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | No | 207 | 83.6¢ | $173 | — |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $167 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | No | 200 | 78.0¢ | $167 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 931 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 166 | 80.0¢ | $139 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 804 | 13.0¢ | $133 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 150 | 83.0¢ | $125 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| 0xd113…09c6 | No | 122 | 83.0¢ | $102 | — |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 100 | 82.0¢ | $84 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $84 | — |
| VatnikPride0x2384…3e0b | Yes | 500 | 21.0¢ | $83 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 97 | 83.4¢ | $81 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| DaveFromCave0xf3c0…90f5 | Yes | 465 | 15.4¢ | $77 | — |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | 90 | 89.0¢ | $75 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 2,228 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 420 | 16.3¢ | $69 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| unclefei0280xf88b…0ed2 | No | 80 | 83.4¢ | $67 | — |
| baklavam0x4749…0ed3 | Yes | 400 | 14.9¢ | $66 | — |
| 0xafa7…6e67 | No | 75 | 83.7¢ | $62 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 350 | 15.7¢ | $58 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| viktorurolog160xcf9e…518e | No | 66 | 72.0¢ | $55 | — |
| empiricist0x0c6e…a4f9 | No | 62 | 87.0¢ | $51 | — |
| randomWalkingShrimp0x30d1…4525 | Yes | 300 | 16.0¢ | $50 | Proven+$8.22 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | Yes | 300 | 18.0¢ | $50 | Proven+$3.19 per $100 · 465 bets |
| 0xd11c…0d06 | No | 56 | 82.6¢ | $47 | — |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | Yes | 272 | 19.5¢ | $45 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 47 | 85.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| AlexZA30x5c5b…1a6d | No | 42 | 80.6¢ | $35 | Positive+$4.62 per $100 · 181 bets |
| 0x8ef7…2fed | No | 42 | 83.4¢ | $35 | — |
| 0xb15d…558a | No | 35 | 86.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xe7a1…965f | No | 35 | 87.3¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xf567…1402 | Yes | 167 | 17.9¢ | $28 | — |
| jackylove0x4131…d591 | Yes | 160 | 23.8¢ | $26 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 30 | 87.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Voltoger0xfffe…4e6c | Yes | 133 | 18.0¢ | $22 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 23 | 87.0¢ | $19 | New42 settled bets |
| MiyagoloMusashi0x823d…2db3 | No | 20 | 83.4¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.26 per $100 · 1,038 bets |
| MusakaKing0x7727…15a4 | Yes | 92 | 16.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x2d75…4e46 | No | 18 | 89.4¢ | $15 | Proven+$8.58 per $100 · 182 bets |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | Yes | 79 | 18.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| BlueFungus0x86aa…a85b | No | 13 | 80.0¢ | $10 | — |
| VikingFjord0x4c1d…0db6 | Yes | 61 | 18.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xc9db…7a75 | No | 11 | 83.0¢ | $9 | — |
| yavvir0x01cc…e4e1 | Yes | 54 | 13.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xc6bf…dbe7 | Yes | 53 | 19.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Forch0x6ca0…e59d | Yes | 51 | 22.4¢ | $8 | — |
| thunderquack0x07fd…ad26 | No | 7 | 85.6¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 614 bets |
| RolandZhang0x0cd6…2784 | Yes | 32 | 16.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 216 bets |
| anonymousey0x8fdf…af9e | No | 6 | 81.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1bb1…ca54 | No | 6 | 81.4¢ | $5 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 30 | 15.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x9184…de17 | No | 6 | 85.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3461…9ccf | Yes | 29 | 17.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa6ef…9f24 | No | 6 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xec1d…db17 | No | 5 | 83.0¢ | $4 | — |
| qifi0xd42f…1316 | No | 4 | 89.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 18 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 3 | 89.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Bsv0xacbd…dc7c | No | 2 | 82.4¢ | $2 | — |
| B1zz0xcd64…3081 | No | 2 | 83.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Phenium0xe9f2…ddd0 | Yes | 11 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 623 bets |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | No | 1 | 82.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.67 per $100 · 1,644 bets |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | Yes | 6 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| G-Man.0x1445…83b4 | Yes | 5 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 5 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7e5…9030 | Yes | 5 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 4 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zerowar0xd822…8c9b | Yes | 3 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 2 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 1 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,690 bets |
| rocky420130xf971…0a57 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 0 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 26.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 111 shares each side · Show
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