Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 4,366 | 74.7¢ | $3.91K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 1,716 bets |
| LetMeBeYourValentine0x5ca7…6149 | No | 4,188 | 72.0¢ | $3.75K | Proven+$3.43 per $100 · 206 bets |
| Serega-pro0xcfb5…7d2d | No | 3,991 | 72.7¢ | $3.57K | — |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 3,035 | 67.4¢ | $2.72K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | No | 2,088 | 71.0¢ | $1.87K | Proven+$14.71 per $100 · 249 bets |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv0x57b0…76f4 | No | 2,000 | 72.5¢ | $1.79K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,947 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 1,967 | 75.5¢ | $1.76K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| ReedUpdatee0x07a9…32c8 | No | 1,798 | 61.2¢ | $1.61K | Losing−$7.86 per $100 · 133 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 1,606 | 57.0¢ | $1.44K | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| NeH0x11fc…dc48 | No | 1,577 | 70.5¢ | $1.41K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 159 bets |
| kukubaja0xa0c3…5b9a | No | 1,346 | 71.0¢ | $1.2K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,092 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 1,152 | 76.7¢ | $1.03K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,971 bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 1,108 | 90.0¢ | $992 | New83 settled bets |
| prognozu0x8199…bb6d | No | 1,100 | 88.7¢ | $985 | — |
| ThisAgain0x2cff…59db | No | 1,080 | 66.0¢ | $967 | New36 settled bets |
| 0x00c0…4610 | Yes | 8,931 | 33.6¢ | $938 | New77 settled bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 967 | 60.4¢ | $865 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| VatnikPride0x2384…3e0b | No | 872 | 73.4¢ | $781 | — |
| youher0x5f1d…3533 | No | 828 | 87.0¢ | $741 | — |
| winelavkakz0x6959…5575 | No | 807 | 81.2¢ | $722 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 128 bets |
| SomerandomD0x2db9…33f1 | No | 750 | 86.3¢ | $671 | Proven+$5.06 per $100 · 100 bets |
| 0x0783…4385 | Yes | 6,147 | 11.9¢ | $645 | — |
| Putniy1110x10b7…9e3c | No | 700 | 74.6¢ | $626 | — |
| DrA11c0m30x5f57…fd0e | No | 690 | 73.0¢ | $618 | New39 settled bets |
| ksenon0x7535…e660 | No | 631 | 86.3¢ | $565 | — |
| darkdata0xb959…2d5e | No | 600 | 84.0¢ | $537 | — |
| 0xcb6f…317f | No | 575 | 77.9¢ | $514 | — |
| nero25890x1464…5e75 | No | 520 | 72.4¢ | $465 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 2,380 bets |
| Lets-play0x7883…66b2 | No | 500 | 71.2¢ | $448 | — |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 499 | 89.0¢ | $447 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| TraxTraxich670x670c…30ce | No | 454 | 74.9¢ | $407 | — |
| onthewave0xc302…f388 | No | 349 | 71.6¢ | $312 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 201 bets |
| Oskoreiter0x4518…1cac | No | 336 | 72.8¢ | $301 | — |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 323 | 74.5¢ | $289 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| Ogonee0x0a79…8e05 | No | 319 | 71.3¢ | $285 | — |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | Yes | 2,596 | 25.6¢ | $273 | — |
| filthymudeok0xbbe3…5b92 | No | 288 | 68.5¢ | $258 | Losing−$11.70 per $100 · 325 bets |
| Poplach0x28c9…0e29 | No | 273 | 73.0¢ | $244 | — |
| IvanD0xc310…1972 | No | 271 | 73.9¢ | $242 | — |
| 0x9a35…4d50 | No | 270 | 76.9¢ | $242 | — |
| Nikitos20050x5a17…263a | No | 249 | 70.6¢ | $223 | — |
| pollution0x4574…ab3e | No | 240 | 67.9¢ | $215 | — |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | No | 240 | 65.9¢ | $215 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| ImJustDoge0xee94…404d | No | 219 | 74.1¢ | $196 | — |
| alfachermander0xf62b…e61d | Yes | 1,759 | 28.7¢ | $185 | — |
| Idontknow0x1bad…b50f | No | 200 | 66.0¢ | $179 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 195 | 72.0¢ | $174 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| Poopek0x8b2d…67b3 | Yes | 1,638 | 29.5¢ | $172 | — |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | 1,600 | 27.2¢ | $168 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,531 | 16.7¢ | $161 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| LemonBrothers0x7b05…6180 | Yes | 1,500 | 19.8¢ | $157 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 139 bets |
| supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1 | Yes | 1,404 | 26.8¢ | $147 | Proven+$18.23 per $100 · 164 bets |
| 0x9d30…dcd6 | No | 160 | 75.0¢ | $143 | — |
| Rushwave0x5ca9…6ccf | No | 153 | 70.0¢ | $137 | Proven+$2.97 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Demigivan0x558d…5a10 | No | 146 | 71.0¢ | $130 | — |
| Boobavelli0xa60e…d332 | Yes | 1,240 | 30.3¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x45e6…8fca | No | 145 | 69.0¢ | $130 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 1,205 | 34.5¢ | $126 | — |
| rofl3r0x096a…fd0a | No | 141 | 71.0¢ | $126 | — |
| Americanbo0x1d8b…2164 | No | 137 | 73.0¢ | $123 | — |
| 0x9152…69a5 | No | 136 | 78.0¢ | $122 | — |
| baranus0x6be4…2af4 | Yes | 1,108 | 9.0¢ | $116 | — |
| Chersi0xaad3…e666 | Yes | 1,099 | 27.3¢ | $115 | — |
| cataction0xf74d…280c | Yes | 1,000 | 30.0¢ | $105 | — |
| amused850x8fe7…4f20 | Yes | 977 | 30.1¢ | $103 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 5,572 bets |
| FoolingAround0x0f4f…7039 | Yes | 759 | 29.3¢ | $80 | — |
| rhg904ij70x402f…6d99 | Yes | 687 | 22.1¢ | $72 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 608 | 37.9¢ | $64 | — |
| PROPHET.NOTES0xcb11…0d5e | Yes | 606 | 30.0¢ | $64 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 543 bets |
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | Yes | 510 | 28.4¢ | $54 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 500 | 30.2¢ | $53 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 500 | 21.0¢ | $52 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| jxzz0x7d8a…f907 | Yes | 478 | 10.0¢ | $50 | — |
| always-give-up0xc59f…954e | Yes | 477 | 29.0¢ | $50 | — |
| Rol0x355c…e6d4 | Yes | 400 | 22.5¢ | $42 | — |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 400 | 8.0¢ | $42 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| gosunov0x1373…d333 | Yes | 367 | 27.2¢ | $39 | — |
| snus.eater0xa3ce…f829 | Yes | 357 | 28.0¢ | $38 | — |
| ArthurGreen0xd5db…3c45 | Yes | 355 | 15.7¢ | $37 | Losing−$4.68 per $100 · 1,000 bets |
| 0xb8fe…91cf | Yes | 317 | 31.6¢ | $33 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 303 | 33.0¢ | $32 | — |
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 300 | 36.0¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | Yes | 292 | 30.9¢ | $31 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| bralex0xfbe8…c4ae | Yes | 250 | 32.0¢ | $26 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 241 | 20.1¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 238 | 25.2¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| AnaFav0x41cb…a5df | Yes | 230 | 10.4¢ | $24 | Proven+$7.34 per $100 · 3,469 bets |
| Lbr90x4a0e…bac9 | Yes | 220 | 9.0¢ | $23 | New95 settled bets |
| 0x3c8f…b46c | Yes | 207 | 10.9¢ | $22 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 205 | 26.7¢ | $22 | — |
| firstforge0x132e…c724 | Yes | 200 | 31.5¢ | $21 | Losing−$7.29 per $100 · 1,092 bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | Yes | 200 | 27.0¢ | $21 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| Delarge0xabd8…141d | Yes | 200 | 25.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Lord-Of-Democracy0xe22d…635d | Yes | 200 | 27.5¢ | $21 | — |
| enjenjenje0x2ae2…8515 | Yes | 190 | 29.0¢ | $20 | — |
| persikbandit0xe499…b583 | Yes | 186 | 25.0¢ | $20 | — |
| The-Honored-One0xd34f…ab75 | Yes | 168 | 29.2¢ | $18 | — |
| tywwetherididi0x7f43…f942 | Yes | 162 | 20.3¢ | $17 | — |
| Lincorro0x7f85…f007 | Yes | 162 | 13.0¢ | $17 | — |
| marketp0x4fd8…0d38 | Yes | 155 | 11.0¢ | $16 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.