Market · 5 of 19 outcomes
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
15 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcb01…7dfb | No | 71,608 | 94.5¢ | $70.9K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,520 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 34,422 | 95.2¢ | $34.1K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 773 bets |
| tryingout10xba0e…5ceb | No | 18,800 | 91.9¢ | $18.6K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 145 bets |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | No | 16,520 | 95.1¢ | $16.3K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| LlamaEnjoyer0x9b97…5e12 | No | 5,000 | 95.0¢ | $4.95K | Break-even+$0.54 per $100 · 5,558 bets |
| tiburon0x22d3…5e3a | No | 3,661 | 83.0¢ | $3.62K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 317 bets |
| 0x5e39…352c | No | 3,400 | 95.3¢ | $3.36K | Losing−$1.13 per $100 · 6,805 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | No | 2,292 | 92.4¢ | $2.27K | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| Niki09020x2271…b8f1 | No | 2,049 | 97.7¢ | $2.03K | Proven+$9.49 per $100 · 104 bets |
| milkthedip0x4eee…5841 | No | 2,000 | 97.9¢ | $1.98K | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 406 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 1,993 | 98.0¢ | $1.97K | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,969 | 98.6¢ | $1.95K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 1,814 | 94.7¢ | $1.8K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| borja130x454c…bd22 | Yes | 149,534 | 2.9¢ | $1.57K | Proven+$15.57 per $100 · 380 bets |
| Ed23570xb1ce…ced2 | Yes | 140,648 | 6.0¢ | $1.48K | New3 settled bets |
| testingstuff1230xbf0d…146e | No | 1,354 | 96.1¢ | $1.34K | — |
| qqq890x575a…bba6 | Yes | 111,630 | 6.3¢ | $1.17K | Losing−$2.13 per $100 · 207 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 100,000 | 4.2¢ | $1.05K | Proven+$8.61 per $100 · 550 bets |
| spendingmoney0x8806…2e83 | Yes | 85,678 | 1.8¢ | $900 | Proven+$6.71 per $100 · 1,621 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 84,749 | 3.4¢ | $890 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 899 | 95.0¢ | $890 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,952 bets |
| vbfjy60x0cdd…8780 | No | 882 | 50.0¢ | $873 | — |
| c00kedforever0xb39a…abed | No | 777 | 91.0¢ | $769 | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 438 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 67,803 | 2.3¢ | $712 | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 665 | 84.7¢ | $658 | Losing−$7.14 per $100 · 15,903 bets |
| Da3vil0x9441…98ba | Yes | 62,524 | 16.7¢ | $657 | New56 settled bets |
| zhaoyun11110x93a0…0766 | No | 652 | 89.5¢ | $645 | — |
| wfvmaxi1230x43f4…471b | No | 645 | 93.3¢ | $638 | — |
| owenliang6660x792f…328a | Yes | 59,202 | 7.3¢ | $622 | New24 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 547 | 98.9¢ | $541 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| artem.varfo0xd569…48c1 | No | 500 | 83.0¢ | $495 | — |
| PourceauRabbin0xe89f…b775 | Yes | 41,539 | 5.9¢ | $436 | New34 settled bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 37,386 | 0.7¢ | $393 | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| Zenatovar0x275d…72e7 | No | 354 | 98.8¢ | $351 | — |
| gibsmedats0x9842…132b | Yes | 27,611 | 2.0¢ | $290 | — |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | No | 252 | 98.3¢ | $249 | Break-even−$0.54 per $100 · 3,695 bets |
| ctrltab0x381c…c62d | Yes | 20,375 | 4.7¢ | $214 | — |
| RodriIsOnFire0x6a0b…8a3b | Yes | 20,161 | 1.8¢ | $212 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 20,041 | 8.6¢ | $210 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| ac0090x8b01…24a9 | No | 203 | 98.8¢ | $201 | — |
| 0xee19…555e | Yes | 19,000 | 11.0¢ | $199 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 768 bets |
| biloute0x2ab0…95fb | No | 200 | 98.8¢ | $198 | — |
| CloudCactus0x0c99…87cf | Yes | 18,812 | 7.8¢ | $198 | Losing−$4.34 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| Mr.show0x1dc3…46ec | Yes | 18,267 | 13.8¢ | $192 | — |
| PuntPP0x9e0c…832d | Yes | 18,257 | 12.5¢ | $192 | — |
| Bageb0x042a…b153 | Yes | 17,529 | 1.4¢ | $184 | — |
| 0x0bc0…0f2a | Yes | 15,924 | 2.6¢ | $167 | — |
| 0x7164…7ff7 | Yes | 15,883 | 12.2¢ | $167 | — |
| Egiru4200xd469…2944 | Yes | 13,995 | 1.5¢ | $147 | — |
| 1234ab0x5f8e…21b7 | No | 136 | 92.4¢ | $135 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 131 | 99.0¢ | $129 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | Yes | 12,000 | 5.1¢ | $126 | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $117 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| ubergoy0x7072…69ac | Yes | 11,075 | 2.6¢ | $116 | — |
| 0x4b0c…6ee6 | No | 117 | 98.9¢ | $116 | — |
| 0xdee1…2848 | No | 117 | 98.9¢ | $115 | — |
| 0x9ff4…1652 | No | 116 | 98.9¢ | $115 | — |
| 0x8d63…24ae | No | 116 | 98.9¢ | $115 | — |
| CrazyDeLaCaks0xd202…1ef5 | Yes | 10,870 | 1.8¢ | $114 | Proven+$8.91 per $100 · 1,568 bets |
| akazipper0xc398…9c7f | No | 108 | 92.4¢ | $106 | — |
| PeAPAnieniLiala0x2220…1a0f | Yes | 10,000 | 1.5¢ | $105 | Proven+$12.90 per $100 · 1,036 bets |
| 0xc9c8…44fb | Yes | 10,000 | 2.1¢ | $105 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 1,108 bets |
| sciuboi0xd6b6…342b | Yes | 10,000 | 1.1¢ | $105 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 584 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 9,598 | 1.0¢ | $101 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 8,921 | 1.1¢ | $94 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,946 bets |
| roncola0x20ef…68a8 | Yes | 8,579 | 12.5¢ | $90 | — |
| 0x23cc…cfea | Yes | 8,333 | 6.4¢ | $87 | — |
| effectiveagent0xdfad…f598 | Yes | 7,945 | 4.0¢ | $83 | — |
| 0xda72…e70c | Yes | 7,638 | 6.1¢ | $80 | — |
| 3musketeers0xb251…6f5b | Yes | 7,500 | 10.1¢ | $79 | Proven+$6.86 per $100 · 663 bets |
| GTG7910xbbd3…17c7 | Yes | 7,466 | 4.3¢ | $78 | — |
| TheBigSuccess0xdf87…2974 | Yes | 7,109 | 1.0¢ | $75 | — |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 6,792 | 2.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$4.32 per $100 · 27,047 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,391 | 1.1¢ | $67 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| luminae0x9f3e…1edf | No | 67 | 92.4¢ | $67 | — |
| Alex-GGBond0xafe8…42cc | Yes | 5,591 | 9.7¢ | $59 | — |
| MrConsistency0xabd9…dc3a | Yes | 5,552 | 2.0¢ | $58 | — |
| Koni6900x17c0…c49b | Yes | 5,500 | 17.7¢ | $58 | — |
| Johnsinus0x994a…b5f9 | Yes | 5,202 | 12.5¢ | $55 | — |
| Blaskinho0xd458…b521 | Yes | 5,042 | 3.9¢ | $53 | Proven+$8.44 per $100 · 841 bets |
| puiemsd0x0659…2995 | Yes | 5,000 | 5.1¢ | $53 | New50 settled bets |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | Yes | 5,000 | 5.0¢ | $53 | Proven+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| a5DYXQMGEE0x0be4…b548 | Yes | 5,000 | 10.9¢ | $52 | — |
| babiklensmua0x1355…60ff | No | 52 | 96.1¢ | $52 | — |
| Fireflu0xb8ad…6afa | No | 52 | 96.1¢ | $52 | — |
| LynxTitan0x6814…a9e7 | Yes | 4,887 | 1.1¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 36,873+ bets · updating |
| hz057150x1f77…6dca | No | 51 | 97.6¢ | $51 | — |
| mmyy160xa094…bdeb | No | 50 | 98.9¢ | $49 | — |
| GGbondCC0xe5ed…a4f5 | No | 50 | 95.1¢ | $49 | — |
| KennedyRea997990xedff…b635 | No | 50 | 95.0¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 3,588 | 2.7¢ | $38 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| Ahern0xbe99…06de | No | 36 | 99.0¢ | $36 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 35 | 93.4¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 30 | 95.4¢ | $30 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 367 bets |
| kadanilov0x636d…96ac | No | 29 | 84.7¢ | $29 | — |
| Novajoyside0xc77d…4476 | No | 29 | 98.9¢ | $29 | — |
| wilsonmuephy0xdf9a…12ae | No | 28 | 98.9¢ | $28 | — |
| hoikryfsdrf0xaab6…1b38 | No | 27 | 96.1¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x792d…af4d | No | 25 | 98.5¢ | $25 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 480 | 0.9¢ | $5 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.