Market · 5 of 19 outcomes
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 1,348 | 88.6¢ | $1.15K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| milkthedip0x4eee…5841 | No | 995 | 81.0¢ | $851 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 406 bets |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 761 | 84.2¢ | $651 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 500 | 72.6¢ | $428 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | No | 500 | 80.7¢ | $427 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 3,744 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 1,955 | 16.1¢ | $284 | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| Socialista0xfa01…f0a7 | No | 266 | 72.9¢ | $227 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 7,515 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 781 | 19.4¢ | $113 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| KyksBallonDor0xe09c…b2e8 | No | 130 | 77.9¢ | $111 | — |
| 0x7799…d511 | No | 118 | 74.9¢ | $101 | — |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | No | 99 | 76.7¢ | $85 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 460 bets |
| cmotta0x2871…8ce2 | Yes | 541 | 19.2¢ | $78 | — |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 90 | 56.2¢ | $77 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 85 | 87.9¢ | $73 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| Archeval0xec25…a6cb | No | 73 | 76.4¢ | $62 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 376 | 24.3¢ | $55 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 62 | 74.0¢ | $53 | — |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | No | 52 | 53.0¢ | $44 | Proven+$7.56 per $100 · 3,291 bets |
| ShadowVorcaro0x201c…6bfe | No | 50 | 72.0¢ | $43 | — |
| VGR220x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | 271 | 12.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$5.90 per $100 · 3,100 bets |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | No | 40 | 32.1¢ | $34 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| a5DYXQMGEE0x0be4…b548 | Yes | 230 | 16.9¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 346 bets |
| noam91900x3f37…4388 | No | 37 | 55.7¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xa5ca…3356 | No | 36 | 56.2¢ | $31 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 212 | 22.9¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | No | 32 | 58.2¢ | $28 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Yes | 160 | 13.8¢ | $23 | Positive+$4.55 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| StillWater00x7bab…8322 | Yes | 151 | 24.4¢ | $22 | Proven+$8.71 per $100 · 527 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 132 | 28.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0x6216…1bd4 | No | 20 | 54.0¢ | $17 | — |
| ChoiceMeteor25200xb082…5138 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $17 | — |
| sniper88880xce49…c3b9 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $14 | — |
| anqana0x6b60…9c7e | Yes | 93 | 43.7¢ | $13 | — |
| hapyman0xaa92…cda4 | No | 14 | 72.0¢ | $12 | — |
| catusso0x18e0…d024 | No | 10 | 51.0¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 52 | 11.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| GoatZilla0xc449…037c | Yes | 50 | 70.0¢ | $7 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | Yes | 48 | 14.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Paulie80xb244…7ed9 | Yes | 45 | 14.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Runner1090x6a67…df6f | Yes | 43 | 14.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 667 bets |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | Yes | 40 | 31.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 13,963 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 5 | 73.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 23 | 19.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.32 per $100 · 27,047 bets |
| 172268040x2f9b…50e0 | Yes | 22 | 45.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$11.86 per $100 · 344 bets |
| 0xb3a3…8866 | No | 4 | 57.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x21d5…b6d5 | No | 2 | 87.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.73 per $100 · 733 bets |
| 0xf397…2354 | Yes | 10 | 49.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x785e…a200 | No | 1 | 75.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4da4…ffa1 | Yes | 6 | 16.7¢ | $1 | — |
| acamma0x08dc…61d9 | Yes | 4 | 23.9¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 2 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 1 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,731 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.