Market · 4 of 17 outcomes
Will Rob Thomson win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 17 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c6090xcfd6…88c4 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 909 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 823 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 135 | 4.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,825+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 95 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 83 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 309 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 82 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 69 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 25 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| helic0pter0x4b3e…cfae | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,326 bets |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 8 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,665 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 3 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 0 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$24.09 per $100 · 1,666 bets |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.