Market · 17 of 30 outcomes
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 31,124 | 0.1¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 6,096 | 0.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1,552 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,167 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 1,010 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 785 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 768 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 503 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 391 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| 0xbe37…77c8 | Yes | 300 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 267 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 89.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,297 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 222 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 200 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| 0x90b0…cf23 | Yes | 149 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 144 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 133 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 109 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5fb7…0068 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| bubba20xcadc…1e3b | Yes | 91 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 85 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,985 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 75 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| beachboy10x2fab…5623 | Yes | 70 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 60 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc2ea…9478 | Yes | 50 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| tiancs0x8301…3bdc | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DemoKratic0x0e40…f622 | Yes | 45 | 22.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$12.20 per $100 · 183 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 40 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 35 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 3j2ei23098ui0x24ca…5829 | Yes | 34 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| 0x67b6…e9ac | Yes | 28 | 36.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| superstare0xd060…5c63 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.