Market · 3 of 30 outcomes
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macks220x1057…9ea5 | No | 4,624 | 85.0¢ | $4.5K | Proven+$31.50 per $100 · 122 bets |
| TheGreekTraderPM0x6770…45fb | No | 4,072 | 95.9¢ | $3.96K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 941 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 3,877 | 96.1¢ | $3.77K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 3,500 | 95.8¢ | $3.41K | New18 settled bets |
| bearbees20x12b8…479c | No | 3,029 | 95.5¢ | $2.95K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 259 bets |
| extractive-manatee0xf9f2…5cba | No | 3,000 | 86.0¢ | $2.92K | Positive+$6.29 per $100 · 4,457 bets |
| Noooooooop0xc315…fe18 | No | 2,920 | 93.1¢ | $2.84K | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 508 bets |
| XueqinJiang0x4133…ea5d | No | 2,848 | 88.4¢ | $2.77K | Proven+$6.44 per $100 · 190 bets |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | No | 2,232 | 95.3¢ | $2.17K | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| ih82w80x7243…942a | No | 1,524 | 96.9¢ | $1.48K | Proven+$4.39 per $100 · 564 bets |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | No | 1,456 | 96.5¢ | $1.42K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| dfdvbjgdhbh0x524c…6b4f | No | 1,427 | 82.5¢ | $1.39K | New22 settled bets |
| AxiosReporter120x02e9…e4c9 | No | 1,294 | 90.8¢ | $1.26K | New30 settled bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 1,109 | 85.0¢ | $1.08K | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| can1110x5cfd…ca1b | No | 1,057 | 94.6¢ | $1.03K | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 664 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 1,000 | 93.0¢ | $973 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 996 | 96.6¢ | $969 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| lemov0x1f03…f6fd | No | 885 | 96.0¢ | $861 | New85 settled bets |
| delphy0xbb2e…5bbf | No | 841 | 95.8¢ | $818 | — |
| AuthenticDemigod0x7487…fc0c | No | 800 | 95.5¢ | $778 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 346 bets |
| Roht0x4fc1…ec92 | No | 796 | 96.0¢ | $775 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 8,835 bets |
| jyttttt0x81e9…1812 | No | 794 | 95.8¢ | $772 | — |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 761 | 96.9¢ | $741 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| arii0x3a32…562e | No | 724 | 95.0¢ | $705 | Losing−$8.97 per $100 · 256 bets |
| DrA11c0m30x5f57…fd0e | No | 645 | 92.0¢ | $628 | New39 settled bets |
| BafanaBafana0xf72c…eeb7 | No | 578 | 83.0¢ | $562 | — |
| OneBadBet0x84f8…0ff2 | No | 542 | 95.6¢ | $528 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 1,486 bets |
| sevenbridges0x5da4…2404 | No | 538 | 93.0¢ | $523 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x7795…9a17 | Yes | 18,920 | 5.3¢ | $511 | Losing−$10.65 per $100 · 121 bets |
| user2010x1c51…7905 | No | 506 | 93.0¢ | $492 | New32 settled bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 86.8¢ | $487 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 500 | 90.8¢ | $486 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| Iker14140xdc73…93da | No | 466 | 89.0¢ | $454 | — |
| salmanandb0xef25…e5a7 | Yes | 15,451 | 18.6¢ | $417 | — |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 414 | 81.0¢ | $403 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| donaldo9990x3466…8728 | No | 345 | 87.0¢ | $336 | New26 settled bets |
| MemeDream0x6747…a64f | No | 300 | 95.0¢ | $292 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 742 bets |
| Bradking0x35fe…8509 | Yes | 8,452 | 11.8¢ | $228 | New51 settled bets |
| autisem0xea41…1c98 | No | 207 | 96.8¢ | $201 | — |
| Hlopkorob0x19ef…1fd1 | No | 204 | 97.8¢ | $199 | New31 settled bets |
| Rucki660x01c1…7a52 | No | 200 | 96.9¢ | $195 | Break-even+$0.32 per $100 · 213 bets |
| yee1230x991b…f19a | No | 200 | 84.0¢ | $195 | Losing−$2.65 per $100 · 213 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | No | 200 | 84.0¢ | $195 | — |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 200 | 95.0¢ | $195 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 6,554 | 3.8¢ | $177 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| naasniy0x5c14…68f3 | No | 158 | 95.0¢ | $154 | Positive+$91.79 per $100 · 357 bets |
| rzgtrader0xd0e1…c1a5 | Yes | 5,629 | 17.8¢ | $152 | — |
| Yarick0x7b1e…1385 | Yes | 5,565 | 12.9¢ | $150 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 533 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 150 | 87.0¢ | $146 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 0xd5aa…7472 | No | 118 | 85.0¢ | $114 | — |
| aleksandrshtefanov0xb91a…29dd | No | 114 | 87.6¢ | $111 | — |
| ScientiaRex0x8f0b…8be2 | No | 106 | 94.0¢ | $104 | — |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | No | 104 | 95.8¢ | $102 | Proven+$7.93 per $100 · 468 bets |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 104 | 90.8¢ | $101 | — |
| ded-ind-emp-seer0x96cf…94ae | Yes | 3,632 | 14.9¢ | $98 | New11 settled bets |
| lancelot70x9970…ce0a | No | 100 | 92.0¢ | $97 | — |
| shfa0x6c5c…1e71 | Yes | 3,252 | 14.0¢ | $88 | New18 settled bets |
| final-divination0x9ea7…7e1c | Yes | 2,713 | 9.1¢ | $73 | New22 settled bets |
| 0xp1rate0x8b9b…48f4 | Yes | 2,458 | 3.2¢ | $66 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 2,172 | 0.8¢ | $59 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Yupionso0xe17f…9d41 | Yes | 2,138 | 4.7¢ | $58 | New76 settled bets |
| immortal-prediction0xe07a…2357 | Yes | 2,017 | 14.9¢ | $54 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x7a65…55a4 | Yes | 1,827 | 3.3¢ | $49 | New22 settled bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 44 | 91.0¢ | $43 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| Tomson4560x7d9f…f01b | Yes | 1,255 | 15.9¢ | $34 | New61 settled bets |
| 0xcc65…6330 | Yes | 1,254 | 4.0¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x08d3…4d01 | Yes | 1,250 | 8.0¢ | $34 | New21 settled bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 1,250 | 3.4¢ | $34 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| 0x41ea…601f | Yes | 1,246 | 4.4¢ | $34 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x5ca7…8195 | Yes | 1,163 | 9.5¢ | $31 | Losing−$12.43 per $100 · 768 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 1,034 | 5.2¢ | $28 | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 225,283+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,022 | 4.2¢ | $28 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| Sohrab990x3c2e…e143 | Yes | 935 | 3.8¢ | $25 | New5 settled bets |
| parliament-5680x9640…283e | Yes | 769 | 13.0¢ | $21 | — |
| LUCIFERUS0xe990…8b91 | Yes | 762 | 13.1¢ | $21 | — |
| 83nj4m1nn0x4cb0…3b3b | Yes | 750 | 17.4¢ | $20 | Losing−$33.76 per $100 · 116 bets |
| Madmax350xc4c8…8ccb | Yes | 667 | 15.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xfe1e…6ef3 | Yes | 663 | 4.5¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x7786…2765 | Yes | 647 | 17.0¢ | $17 | New15 settled bets |
| yallachabibi0x6618…da0f | Yes | 624 | 16.0¢ | $17 | New26 settled bets |
| Behnaz0xf7cf…9530 | Yes | 588 | 17.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x6dc9…b678 | Yes | 558 | 5.2¢ | $15 | New0 settled bets |
| ki11uaz0xc56e…2c85 | Yes | 517 | 14.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xb100…a65f | Yes | 471 | 14.0¢ | $13 | — |
| navidnnnn0xd664…3bc1 | Yes | 455 | 3.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x2793…8fd4 | Yes | 440 | 11.5¢ | $12 | New0 settled bets |
| DemoKratic0x0e40…f622 | Yes | 416 | 14.4¢ | $11 | Losing−$12.20 per $100 · 183 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 410 | 3.2¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0x8d2e…f022 | Yes | 364 | 6.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x1f83…ec5c | Yes | 347 | 3.0¢ | $9 | New5 settled bets |
| 0x6592…1e99 | Yes | 335 | 13.4¢ | $9 | New79 settled bets |
| jon-s580x20e5…8180 | Yes | 333 | 15.0¢ | $9 | New76 settled bets |
| 0xf14b…2b93 | Yes | 326 | 5.3¢ | $9 | — |
| Cptngreen0x3d8a…d9de | Yes | 313 | 16.0¢ | $8 | New3 settled bets |
| blackwizeth0x46a0…79f0 | Yes | 311 | 8.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$42.44 per $100 · 463 bets |
| MMSBest0xd831…351b | Yes | 294 | 17.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Jagernaut12330x63d8…c8f4 | Yes | 278 | 3.6¢ | $7 | New12 settled bets |
| 0xc3cf…246d | Yes | 278 | 18.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x687d…3379 | Yes | 274 | 17.0¢ | $7 | New9 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.