Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJM960x85b8…6b6a | No | 681 | 86.9¢ | $680 | Proven+$3.86 per $100 · 468 bets |
| Facekini8880xfe10…95cb | No | 201 | 87.0¢ | $201 | — |
| 0xab83…4418 | No | 115 | 99.8¢ | $115 | — |
| 0xfdb7…c4a8 | No | 109 | 99.8¢ | $109 | — |
| NNNHK0xb623…476d | Yes | 70,709 | 0.6¢ | $106 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 39,901 | 0.1¢ | $60 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 59 | 90.3¢ | $59 | — |
| SubaTruba0xe899…a588 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.1¢ | $30 | — |
| R0ndog0x76dc…17b4 | No | 25 | 92.9¢ | $25 | Proven+$5.86 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| bdr20xb54a…c622 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.1¢ | $18 | — |
| CharlieWayne0x84f7…3728 | No | 16 | 98.5¢ | $16 | — |
| gmfi0x42d3…d047 | No | 15 | 98.6¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 208 bets |
| suifeng10xa7fa…7bd6 | No | 15 | 98.1¢ | $15 | — |
| scutts0x8bd0…24a3 | Yes | 9,090 | 11.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x6bd8…f260 | Yes | 8,241 | 1.3¢ | $12 | — |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 7,227 | 0.1¢ | $11 | Positive+$13.18 per $100 · 5,861 bets |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 10 | 85.9¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 20,323 bets |
| 0x764f…4e99 | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xcfa0…5aa3 | No | 10 | 98.6¢ | $10 | — |
| LKAtrade0xc1a9…d211 | Yes | 6,419 | 0.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 6,356 | 0.5¢ | $10 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| 0x3155…a2d5 | Yes | 5,391 | 8.0¢ | $8 | New31 settled bets |
| Manilafun0x295d…a192 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 4,093 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$5.49 per $100 · 8,519 bets |
| Tumors0x80fc…d404 | No | 6 | 86.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 202 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3,737 | 8.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,522 bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 6 | 99.2¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| or2t110x54f7…cf01 | No | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | New25 settled bets |
| 0xe9f3…c28d | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | — |
| DickTurbin0xb6be…fcfe | Yes | 3,349 | 6.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 5,486 bets |
| Nipari0xd8a1…cada | Yes | 3,333 | 0.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Trader202120x142d…93c8 | No | 5 | 86.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Minitest0xf9c3…3d81 | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 3,016 | 13.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 2,438 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,158 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.49 per $100 · 315,727+ bets · updating |
| BTCisaHarshMistress0xbdd1…0c4f | Yes | 2,140 | 1.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 3,375 bets |
| mynarchist0x6c84…afe4 | Yes | 2,063 | 3.2¢ | $3 | — |
| GGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG0x4fd3…ef31 | No | 3 | 99.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe27c…3f96 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| cryptotradernpc0xfd8d…038b | Yes | 1,879 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,576 | 8.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| maeveknows0x0d95…af5e | Yes | 1,482 | 6.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb52f…fbfd | Yes | 1,438 | 17.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Monstredu380xcba1…b4e2 | Yes | 1,386 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 2 | 96.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| ntcrpt0x82f7…da44 | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Nick-eth0xb6c3…eb07 | Yes | 1,335 | 9.0¢ | $2 | New72 settled bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 1,281 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| 0xcf27…99ec | Yes | 1,268 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| niceghosty0x50aa…70dd | Yes | 1,111 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Tobix30xba26…8adb | Yes | 1,053 | 1.9¢ | $2 | — |
| hydraaaa0xb0ee…128a | Yes | 1,052 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| SolomonSiner0x64c5…3bb7 | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1f9f…979c | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x67a1…3175 | Yes | 1,000 | 3.6¢ | $2 | New7 settled bets |
| ZHIXUNCHEN0xe2b4…1d59 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8340...b29B0x8340…b29b | Yes | 900 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| eileen10200xa02d…e84f | Yes | 871 | 11.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Koekblik0x1c20…9e4f | Yes | 860 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LDM80xacbe…85d4 | Yes | 849 | 20.7¢ | $1 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| 0xf302…4272 | Yes | 769 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x569f…1f60 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Thowhat930xb33b…3c4a | Yes | 754 | 12.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Tshiin0xd537…bd98 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Hello00000A0x8e88…4413 | No | 1 | 98.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3573…dfa3 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | New86 settled bets |
| 0x6470…8fb9 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 117 bets |
| JohnJJJ0x78d2…7a2b | No | 1 | 90.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.59 per $100 · 9,894 bets |
| Zirkk0xf270…7a37 | Yes | 636 | 10.6¢ | $1 | — |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 630 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| YellowSnake0x2c6f…deee | Yes | 620 | 10.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 240 bets |
| 0x2ec8…aa07 | Yes | 602 | 16.6¢ | $1 | — |
| markq1950xb1d2…d753 | Yes | 597 | 16.7¢ | $1 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 1 | 95.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 562 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 1 | 82.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ghoda0x3b41…4379 | Yes | 541 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| fastishlife0x4513…3449 | Yes | 540 | 13.0¢ | $1 | New87 settled bets |
| TysonKO0x0194…5e2d | Yes | 500 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| EABIUAERUNGDD0x3ec3…0cf1 | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8180…c0bb | Yes | 500 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xefdd…a7f9 | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x16cb…2704 | No | 0 | 93.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| 0x993f…35cb | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| axiol0x8217…4936 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 7,573 bets |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa559…6dbb | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x261f…4ba3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x16c7…22cd | Yes | 49 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 24 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| nowxxx0xc7b6…c10c | Yes | 6 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x50e8…3791 | Yes | 4 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 123 bets |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 0 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.