Market · 14 of 22 outcomes
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 142 | 98.9¢ | $142 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 91 | 98.4¢ | $90 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 89 | 99.5¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| vitaliypole0x2be1…5ad1 | No | 55 | 98.4¢ | $55 | — |
| SuperDog230x1199…d5f9 | Yes | 12,244 | 1.2¢ | $43 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 38 | 99.2¢ | $38 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 2,498 | 0.4¢ | $9 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.3¢ | $4 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 4 | 99.7¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 915 | 0.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 845 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 700 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 527 | 1.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 466 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.01 per $100 · 18,911 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 464 | 8.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 457 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 437 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.67 per $100 · 14,801 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 390 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,980 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 381 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,777 bets |
| 0x9c84…be53 | Yes | 380 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 100.1¢ | $1 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| kaitemo0x7b0f…145c | Yes | 210 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 134 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| 0x6528…2006 | Yes | 123 | 0.2¢ | $0 | New1 settled bet |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 119 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 97 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 95 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TheJewishHammer0x2cc1…3e21 | Yes | 85 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Casadepapel0x2ae2…8b8f | Yes | 77 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 76 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 69 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 60 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 50 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| siffy0xb7c7…b3bb | Yes | 40 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 38 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 30 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.27 per $100 · 2,058 bets |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 24 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 18 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | 10 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | Yes | 5 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | 5 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 5 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,526 bets |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | Yes | 2 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 1 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 1 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd011…e928 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 0 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xadb5…e421 | Yes | 0 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.