Market · 5 of 46 outcomes
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| resuildde0xa9c9…43d2 | Yes | 4,301 | 82.9¢ | $3.68K | New1 settled bet |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 774 | 54.5¢ | $662 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 719 | 65.0¢ | $615 | New69 settled bets |
| beansontoasts0xc7b6…3158 | Yes | 490 | 65.4¢ | $419 | — |
| q828503250xce38…1325 | Yes | 452 | 67.2¢ | $387 | — |
| jaihind0xfbf8…cb04 | No | 2,608 | 20.5¢ | $378 | — |
| datperson0x5d2f…24de | No | 2,238 | 33.3¢ | $324 | — |
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 200 | 62.0¢ | $171 | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| 0x1df1…1751 | Yes | 165 | 61.5¢ | $141 | — |
| FTRxlp0x27a2…0ce0 | Yes | 163 | 62.4¢ | $139 | — |
| lineth0x2c41…133e | No | 751 | 36.9¢ | $109 | Proven+$15.49 per $100 · 924 bets |
| ragutwo0x7db8…ed19 | Yes | 120 | 63.9¢ | $103 | — |
| Stefnc0xd515…2c54 | Yes | 118 | 85.5¢ | $101 | — |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 100 | 81.0¢ | $86 | — |
| Amour-2100x3134…746a | Yes | 100 | 61.0¢ | $86 | — |
| dulcinee0x7584…0b06 | Yes | 100 | 60.7¢ | $86 | — |
| Xavnorge0xa98f…33b3 | Yes | 100 | 61.0¢ | $86 | — |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | Yes | 98 | 61.8¢ | $84 | — |
| El-BB0x13f3…0bec | Yes | 92 | 66.4¢ | $78 | — |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | Yes | 89 | 82.6¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| FreeBird90x876f…e56f | Yes | 87 | 58.9¢ | $74 | — |
| jiehfof0xcd3e…ae81 | No | 503 | 64.5¢ | $73 | — |
| Aimaterasu0x62b8…3aea | Yes | 85 | 63.9¢ | $73 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 394 | 12.0¢ | $57 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Coucoubbtbo0x2dd2…7c00 | Yes | 63 | 81.5¢ | $54 | — |
| VladimirK19880x63ca…4bdf | Yes | 61 | 62.6¢ | $52 | — |
| 0x2ccf…2317 | Yes | 50 | 52.1¢ | $43 | — |
| solder0x727e…8b9d | Yes | 50 | 60.0¢ | $43 | — |
| PrometheusCapital0xde9f…3ab2 | Yes | 50 | 59.0¢ | $43 | — |
| ellebel0xa408…3dc1 | Yes | 49 | 62.0¢ | $42 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 283 | 40.5¢ | $41 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| LaGambas0xbf40…9e76 | Yes | 47 | 55.0¢ | $40 | — |
| Montecarlaw0xb524…0808 | No | 253 | 23.0¢ | $37 | Positive+$1.86 per $100 · 1,033 bets |
| krustibetsss0x8fc0…5a60 | Yes | 42 | 73.9¢ | $36 | — |
| TastyCrousty0x38eb…b6d7 | Yes | 40 | 62.9¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xc249…5353 | Yes | 40 | 64.6¢ | $34 | — |
| roscoff0x03dc…99e1 | No | 220 | 40.9¢ | $32 | Positive+$8.39 per $100 · 1,005 bets |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | No | 210 | 14.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x7f5c…6ddd | Yes | 31 | 68.5¢ | $26 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 175 | 13.8¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| cervlord0x7cdc…5759 | No | 164 | 61.8¢ | $24 | — |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | No | 163 | 37.8¢ | $24 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 150 | 22.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 143 | 38.0¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | No | 141 | 26.4¢ | $20 | — |
| boutmy07070xd49e…da8b | Yes | 22 | 47.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 105 | 19.9¢ | $15 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 100 | 35.0¢ | $14 | — |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 100 | 37.0¢ | $14 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 17 | 46.1¢ | $14 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| Bib140x8bfd…6cef | Yes | 13 | 55.0¢ | $11 | — |
| wynfo0x25c4…4b12 | Yes | 12 | 85.5¢ | $10 | — |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 60 | 57.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | 10 | 75.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Healoxo0x7194…ef54 | Yes | 10 | 85.5¢ | $9 | — |
| rentableourien0xc3d3…441f | Yes | 10 | 64.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | Yes | 9 | 85.5¢ | $8 | New34 settled bets |
| sla12640xbcdb…87d9 | No | 52 | 50.3¢ | $8 | — |
| PerfectTaste0x993b…deda | Yes | 7 | 83.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 6 | 52.3¢ | $6 | — |
| EndofBeginning880x7828…381b | Yes | 6 | 82.6¢ | $5 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 18.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | Yes | 5 | 82.0¢ | $4 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 28 | 45.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 4 | 46.2¢ | $4 | — |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | No | 23 | 14.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 4 | 50.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe1ec…f7db | Yes | 4 | 62.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 21 | 27.3¢ | $3 | — |
| cacato0xd6df…d71d | No | 20 | 50.0¢ | $3 | — |
| LucaSouls100xc691…3018 | No | 18 | 38.0¢ | $3 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 3 | 72.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 15 | 40.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0x240e…9f68 | Yes | 2 | 55.3¢ | $2 | — |
| nedior0xaaf1…5a7e | Yes | 2 | 57.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nitum0xc601…36aa | No | 10 | 43.0¢ | $1 | — |
| colorfultortise110x6b16…6936 | No | 9 | 37.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.52 per $100 · 990 bets |
| 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | 7 | 17.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x461a…1a5a | No | 6 | 50.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x253b…98d8 | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xed33…7ea1 | No | 4 | 49.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x97b4…d794 | No | 4 | 62.0¢ | $1 | New36 settled bets |
| 0x6E6172616B610xa093…7e5c | No | 2 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| adspokposs0xbf14…5d95 | No | 1 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 1 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.