Market · 17 of 71 outcomes
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 1,312 | 83.8¢ | $1.23K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 770 | 4.0¢ | $46 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 40 | 80.3¢ | $38 | Losing−$5.62 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 27 | 89.4¢ | $26 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 25 | 74.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 15 | 93.8¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| KellyPhillips90720xad90…9090 | Yes | 160 | 16.0¢ | $10 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 140 | 6.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 120 | 12.5¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 6,282 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 95 | 5.3¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,218+ bets · updating |
| 0xad99…dbab | No | 5 | 90.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 68 | 17.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 4 | 77.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| sunshines0xa7ee…421b | Yes | 40 | 43.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$7.74 per $100 · 320 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x6841…6ebc | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.46 per $100 · 741 bets |
| WayneHaas48900x33dc…a539 | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| BrianBowman78920x4a55…1272 | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AllisonWood72950xea25…d3aa | No | 1 | 82.0¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 8 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 3 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| JessicaCollins49780x2604…13cc | Yes | 2 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 2 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 1 | 9.9¢ | $0 | — |
| MatthewChen62030x63c2…ca53 | Yes | 1 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1f6f…b499 | No | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 140 bets |
| 0x247f…c91b | No | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x690a…2ea7 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.