Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 42,572 | 82.5¢ | $28K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Quebeclove0x23ec…8a4f | No | 18,692 | 70.0¢ | $12.3K | — |
| Ccmun0xa53c…629e | Yes | 28,068 | 28.8¢ | $9.59K | — |
| Icepie0x0aa7…1bdb | Yes | 27,249 | 20.8¢ | $9.31K | — |
| FunMike0xee40…3333 | Yes | 21,477 | 35.5¢ | $7.33K | — |
| 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | 8,115 | 81.7¢ | $5.34K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 199 bets |
| dsarewkgf0x6b06…72f3 | Yes | 14,568 | 27.1¢ | $4.97K | — |
| aoiaoiboo0x9f16…a28f | Yes | 12,452 | 24.3¢ | $4.25K | — |
| moshinfu0x1b05…3455 | Yes | 10,435 | 23.1¢ | $3.56K | — |
| guguatca0x1a64…30bb | Yes | 10,431 | 30.6¢ | $3.56K | — |
| Paigut0x06b4…a809 | Yes | 9,582 | 25.0¢ | $3.27K | — |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | Yes | 9,123 | 18.8¢ | $3.12K | — |
| yfaichan0x6352…f719 | Yes | 8,715 | 29.4¢ | $2.98K | — |
| jackychen10x9d0e…28c5 | Yes | 8,704 | 25.7¢ | $2.97K | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 3,961 | 73.0¢ | $2.61K | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| Rallydave0x4ff9…5845 | Yes | 7,097 | 25.1¢ | $2.42K | — |
| 0xb9b8…38b6 | Yes | 6,696 | 21.7¢ | $2.29K | — |
| LinaBell0xf0ed…47d8 | No | 3,390 | 75.1¢ | $2.23K | Positive+$4.84 per $100 · 2,416 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 3,118 | 70.7¢ | $2.05K | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| xiaopuman0xfbe2…6f8d | No | 3,090 | 78.0¢ | $2.04K | — |
| Chickenleg0x9d45…87cf | Yes | 5,949 | 21.3¢ | $2.03K | — |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | No | 3,000 | 70.2¢ | $1.98K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| MSFTQQQ0x475d…7fb8 | No | 3,000 | 80.4¢ | $1.98K | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | No | 2,850 | 73.9¢ | $1.88K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,696 bets |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | No | 2,698 | 84.9¢ | $1.78K | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 2,580 | 77.5¢ | $1.7K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| Tingo20260xc1d3…0d96 | No | 2,478 | 80.7¢ | $1.63K | — |
| 47Capital0xf29d…add3 | No | 2,315 | 70.1¢ | $1.52K | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 2,300 | 72.9¢ | $1.51K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| RobertChiang0x1bc2…06fd | Yes | 4,414 | 22.5¢ | $1.51K | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 4,387 | 26.7¢ | $1.5K | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| linsen0x2be6…8ae5 | Yes | 4,308 | 26.9¢ | $1.47K | New6 settled bets |
| superyyman0xfb87…f53d | Yes | 4,065 | 20.7¢ | $1.39K | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 2,098 | 65.7¢ | $1.38K | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 1,908 | 70.9¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| PokerfaceBurrito0x333c…7dfd | Yes | 3,403 | 27.8¢ | $1.16K | — |
| BlancHK0x2249…8847 | Yes | 3,389 | 13.0¢ | $1.16K | — |
| ofzs0xc11e…32c6 | Yes | 3,255 | 30.3¢ | $1.11K | — |
| TLfantasy0x56e4…38f1 | Yes | 3,196 | 24.0¢ | $1.09K | New0 settled bets |
| TiProRC0xbeb4…db65 | Yes | 3,171 | 22.7¢ | $1.08K | — |
| qizhan0xac38…c04f | No | 1,600 | 76.8¢ | $1.05K | New60 settled bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 1,570 | 67.9¢ | $1.03K | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| i-want-to-retire0x4ccb…b632 | Yes | 3,015 | 17.1¢ | $1.03K | — |
| JC-20000x2b74…a10e | Yes | 2,870 | 30.7¢ | $980 | — |
| cyberYu0x06e6…4936 | No | 1,466 | 68.2¢ | $965 | — |
| 0x5a48…8e61 | Yes | 2,800 | 19.6¢ | $956 | — |
| TheArtOfTACO0xe54f…94f0 | No | 1,400 | 69.7¢ | $922 | Proven+$5.47 per $100 · 211 bets |
| vaultboy1618030x9183…7707 | Yes | 2,696 | 17.7¢ | $921 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 1,389 | 64.6¢ | $914 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x042d…0b81 | Yes | 2,674 | 20.3¢ | $913 | — |
| shrimp546660x30fd…5327 | Yes | 2,671 | 34.6¢ | $912 | — |
| ronron0x7d9b…02a1 | Yes | 2,484 | 20.1¢ | $848 | — |
| knowwalk0xda57…d083 | Yes | 2,463 | 32.3¢ | $841 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 1,250 | 65.5¢ | $823 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| traderzep0x0b31…a5ba | Yes | 2,309 | 17.7¢ | $789 | — |
| puma6660xca53…f0fc | Yes | 2,283 | 31.2¢ | $780 | — |
| word5000x0093…e059 | No | 1,079 | 79.7¢ | $711 | — |
| yypower0xb313…1ce7 | Yes | 2,000 | 11.3¢ | $683 | — |
| playrole20xb78b…5d40 | Yes | 2,000 | 19.0¢ | $683 | — |
| blade14330x47dd…55d5 | No | 1,000 | 78.6¢ | $658 | — |
| stephenlyk10x3d67…7dac | Yes | 1,771 | 35.5¢ | $605 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 464 bets |
| abcmart0x0155…aa3e | No | 877 | 74.3¢ | $578 | — |
| qwertyyyy0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | 1,586 | 32.5¢ | $542 | — |
| JumpLi0x45b8…2204 | Yes | 1,584 | 32.0¢ | $541 | — |
| 0953fmmiio0x5549…b7d2 | Yes | 1,561 | 17.5¢ | $533 | — |
| Soyunelefante0x749b…9f78 | No | 797 | 70.0¢ | $525 | — |
| kaputen0xfbc2…e30e | Yes | 1,499 | 28.6¢ | $512 | — |
| join-in0xbae1…3a47 | Yes | 1,430 | 7.7¢ | $488 | — |
| fomoallin0x5aca…5d58 | Yes | 1,376 | 20.2¢ | $470 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 657 | 77.4¢ | $432 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Rondai0xd9b3…abf2 | Yes | 1,232 | 30.3¢ | $421 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 600 | 77.3¢ | $395 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| kitan70x5a24…7d0d | No | 600 | 87.1¢ | $395 | — |
| SuckMyDicck0x07e1…9010 | No | 600 | 68.9¢ | $395 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 171 bets |
| SunLeu0x2ae2…49b6 | No | 582 | 71.8¢ | $383 | — |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | No | 578 | 79.9¢ | $381 | — |
| 0x338b…bf88 | Yes | 1,029 | 29.0¢ | $351 | — |
| nacjac0x1e54…c8cc | Yes | 1,000 | 30.6¢ | $342 | — |
| ZZ-TIC-M10x2a44…52b5 | No | 500 | 70.3¢ | $329 | New36 settled bets |
| jiujiu-9990x3577…b34b | No | 493 | 81.6¢ | $325 | — |
| lion4490x6d8c…99f6 | Yes | 864 | 24.8¢ | $295 | Proven+$3.44 per $100 · 187 bets |
| larryay0x0c0f…a1c2 | Yes | 832 | 21.7¢ | $284 | — |
| 0xcc03…51fe | Yes | 811 | 22.7¢ | $277 | — |
| StevenchienTF0x3ff3…fccc | Yes | 746 | 26.6¢ | $255 | — |
| delaynomike0x9d26…cbd0 | Yes | 713 | 26.7¢ | $244 | — |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | No | 322 | 67.1¢ | $212 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 300 | 72.7¢ | $198 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| bigshort0x21d5…9925 | No | 300 | 71.7¢ | $198 | Proven+$2.57 per $100 · 533 bets |
| 0xdc76…5f55 | No | 294 | 69.0¢ | $193 | — |
| plzrm0xc941…2c74 | No | 256 | 78.9¢ | $169 | — |
| PMTraderAdam0x1547…d066 | No | 200 | 70.3¢ | $132 | Proven+$2.64 per $100 · 1,415 bets |
| Isengard10x9032…b5c3 | No | 200 | 66.0¢ | $132 | — |
| Permanent-revolution0xdbc5…4d5f | No | 161 | 71.7¢ | $106 | — |
| 0x87f7…8f45 | No | 156 | 70.9¢ | $103 | — |
| 77888690xaf29…7911 | No | 142 | 72.6¢ | $93 | — |
| polyweatheryuan0x6bf6…2529 | No | 133 | 76.4¢ | $88 | — |
| 0x0eba…eeed | No | 129 | 76.4¢ | $85 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | No | 126 | 79.2¢ | $83 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 117 | 74.4¢ | $77 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.