Market · 1 of 18 outcomes
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 18 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chongchongpanda0x121f…15c1 | Yes | 20,359 | 98.1¢ | $20.1K | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 126 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 4,644 | 73.1¢ | $4.58K | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| MickeyMouse0xf8b5…a5ca | Yes | 1,715 | 9.2¢ | $1.69K | — |
| LightningAndTheThunder0xc306…accd | Yes | 1,156 | 82.0¢ | $1.14K | — |
| 0x38d5…063c | Yes | 1,114 | 89.0¢ | $1.1K | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,185 bets |
| LiquidatedDegen0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | 729 | 19.6¢ | $718 | Proven+$3.21 per $100 · 4,545 bets |
| ChalkGoblin0xffaf…b675 | Yes | 452 | 94.7¢ | $445 | — |
| WWDCCC0xdb15…fad9 | Yes | 419 | 92.3¢ | $413 | — |
| johnnyA0x11f3…d859 | Yes | 146 | 54.9¢ | $144 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 872 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 130 | 85.5¢ | $128 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 122 | 2.0¢ | $120 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| golfpro20250x6837…15e1 | No | 7,980 | 56.2¢ | $112 | — |
| 0x92bd…f597 | Yes | 104 | 4.7¢ | $103 | — |
| webb50080xd41b…83a4 | Yes | 102 | 98.2¢ | $101 | — |
| MambaKobe0xe393…f016 | Yes | 100 | 95.0¢ | $99 | — |
| 0x042d…0b81 | Yes | 86 | 47.0¢ | $85 | Losing−$3.05 per $100 · 4,361 bets |
| DegenKingBetter0xb56d…d621 | No | 5,000 | 44.7¢ | $70 | Positive+$15.47 per $100 · 149 bets |
| 73110x2ebb…13a4 | Yes | 46 | 37.4¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 40 | 72.8¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 40 | 60.7¢ | $39 | New89 settled bets |
| ItsFreeMoneyBro0x66be…cc5f | Yes | 22 | 98.9¢ | $22 | — |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | Yes | 22 | 90.6¢ | $22 | — |
| kjsgdhkjsdfh0xc246…14c6 | No | 1,297 | 64.3¢ | $18 | — |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | Yes | 18 | 61.6¢ | $18 | — |
| alohajp0xbeda…8bef | No | 1,191 | 8.9¢ | $17 | — |
| SweetChariot0x562b…dc09 | No | 1,117 | 81.3¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 5,021 bets |
| echotrader0x5f56…348a | Yes | 15 | 61.7¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 11,271 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 800 | 1.3¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 691 | 3.1¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,087 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 639 | 3.9¢ | $9 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 7 | 81.1¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,071 bets |
| tylerpredict0xb5c7…f2c1 | No | 476 | 1.2¢ | $7 | New40 settled bets |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | Yes | 7 | 61.3¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.63 per $100 · 2,089 bets |
| 0xe575…94db | Yes | 6 | 63.8¢ | $6 | — |
| ploverdevoraus0x0a31…383c | Yes | 5 | 60.0¢ | $5 | — |
| simmons110x5756…e2ef | Yes | 5 | 57.3¢ | $5 | — |
| fire99229skysys0x8571…44a2 | Yes | 5 | 58.8¢ | $5 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $5 | — |
| abdelwahedmabelle2780xb141…8caa | Yes | 5 | 59.8¢ | $5 | — |
| neoxdata995540xf42f…4ea0 | Yes | 5 | 57.3¢ | $5 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 5 | 97.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| nakshi0xc57b…0a2b | No | 349 | 43.7¢ | $5 | — |
| shiifoo0x30f6…004f | Yes | 4 | 37.6¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.80 per $100 · 22,290 bets |
| phantom5000xa1fd…3623 | Yes | 4 | 54.1¢ | $4 | — |
| DJHFJ817130x378f…cd2b | Yes | 4 | 54.2¢ | $4 | — |
| shadow385gigazone6710x288e…9736 | Yes | 4 | 56.2¢ | $4 | — |
| moochlermoon0x5d19…219b | Yes | 4 | 61.2¢ | $4 | — |
| roedelorie26210xd488…1158 | Yes | 4 | 56.8¢ | $4 | — |
| angilamulato0xf682…5f4f | Yes | 4 | 61.4¢ | $4 | — |
| dark697ghost8100x2f15…0470 | Yes | 4 | 57.3¢ | $4 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 275 | 3.0¢ | $4 | — |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | No | 239 | 2.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x53ec…df91 | No | 214 | 49.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 1,984 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 214 | 2.6¢ | $3 | — |
| edge990x8d00…0121 | Yes | 3 | 43.2¢ | $3 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 192 | 18.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Snoopy1210x6a82…e2ad | No | 180 | 1.2¢ | $3 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 2 | 63.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,159 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 2 | 83.1¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 107 | 44.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 95 | 57.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,306 bets |
| HappySigma0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | 1 | 5.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$14.90 per $100 · 334 bets |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| web13370x8493…1134 | No | 59 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| smlptm0xdc15…cca6 | Yes | 1 | 21.5¢ | $1 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 57 | 15.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| madk1488d0x8738…e1c5 | No | 55 | 98.2¢ | $1 | — |
| alexpines0xc902…2786 | No | 55 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | No | 51 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.04 per $100 · 2,556 bets |
| Noonoo1230x2f52…9fba | No | 50 | 39.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 45 | 43.7¢ | $1 | — |
| northstock0x56b2…2ce1 | No | 32 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | No | 20 | 51.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0708…f218 | No | 20 | 15.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$20.39 per $100 · 967 bets |
| xfcylmh0x97a9…5609 | No | 19 | 52.9¢ | $0 | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | No | 15 | 27.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 54.2¢ | $0 | — |
| uninfromedfloww0x4c8e…b38f | No | 10 | 45.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.87 per $100 · 15,914 bets |
| 0xd660…e8d9 | No | 9 | 59.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 8 | 55.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x06da…af33 | Yes | 0 | 84.2¢ | $0 | — |
| VonVyaak0x997e…0d8e | Yes | 0 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| nantonseasonuk0x3a25…d242 | No | 5 | 45.6¢ | $0 | — |
| tigersys0x6a07…ce6a | No | 5 | 47.5¢ | $0 | — |
| gullamarcelle2440x6eba…7a6d | No | 5 | 44.3¢ | $0 | — |
| novamastersteel0xa035…34a7 | No | 5 | 52.6¢ | $0 | — |
| OMD981OJM0xa2c3…971e | No | 5 | 47.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | No | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 5 | 84.1¢ | $0 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 4 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| mcgrawcolbert4320x0ae0…f3cb | No | 4 | 44.3¢ | $0 | — |
| paulineavary0xe0ba…eabc | No | 4 | 44.3¢ | $0 | — |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | No | 4 | 87.6¢ | $0 | — |
| lighthunterce0x0315…5374 | No | 4 | 47.8¢ | $0 | — |
| pixelman519xy0x1f83…d958 | No | 4 | 48.9¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 4 | 52.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,434 bets |
| ravenpilotlightman5670x5f7a…14ef | No | 3 | 52.7¢ | $0 | — |
| fatigatekatharine6820x57b8…2425 | No | 3 | 52.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | No | 1 | 58.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.