Market · 3 of 71 outcomes
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 1,944 | 88.4¢ | $1.71K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 1,505 | 84.7¢ | $1.32K | — |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | No | 511 | 90.0¢ | $449 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No | 500 | 86.3¢ | $440 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| simpledue0x3d9e…5421 | No | 300 | 85.0¢ | $264 | — |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | No | 208 | 91.1¢ | $183 | Proven+$3.64 per $100 · 762 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 1,025 | 15.4¢ | $124 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 931 | 15.5¢ | $113 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| Xyzeric0xe5f5…9c9c | Yes | 869 | 8.3¢ | $105 | — |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | No | 115 | 87.5¢ | $101 | Proven+$7.93 per $100 · 468 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 606 | 8.2¢ | $73 | Losing−$13.57 per $100 · 115 bets |
| Fuzzy-Logic0xdfe1…6c98 | Yes | 600 | 16.5¢ | $73 | Losing−$23.44 per $100 · 212 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 78 | 76.6¢ | $68 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 387 | 1.3¢ | $47 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 325 | 12.0¢ | $39 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 23 | 87.1¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 22 | 85.0¢ | $19 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | No | 20 | 87.0¢ | $18 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 143 | 16.0¢ | $17 | — |
| FranklinPatton39810x29b4…c17a | No | 14 | 76.0¢ | $12 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 80 | 6.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 93.1¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 60 | 22.3¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| MMRamos12970x9ba0…f24d | Yes | 44 | 11.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Scroogie0xb634…eefa | Yes | 37 | 27.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 37 | 12.5¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 93.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 93.2¢ | $4 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 11.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 25 | 9.5¢ | $3 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 3 | 93.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 16 | 9.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 12 | 10.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Centaurspencer0x5939…7560 | Yes | 11 | 19.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 81.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| lovecraft-2250xdc4d…f2c9 | No | 1 | 87.5¢ | $1 | — |
| FeliciaHoffman60090x12e2…85b7 | No | 1 | 76.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LisaHumphrey67570x39be…5e7b | No | 1 | 75.8¢ | $1 | — |
| JulieParker72430xa05d…3e96 | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 7 | 6.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xf004…adaf | Yes | 6 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x23cb…751a | Yes | 6 | 15.5¢ | $1 | — |
| constantinskuratovbelsky0x0dfe…de4d | Yes | 5 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | Yes | 2 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 1 | 18.4¢ | $0 | — |
| MelissaBoone87350x4984…69d2 | Yes | 1 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JoshuaSmith39170xdfec…09a7 | Yes | 1 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 88.5¢ | $0 | — |
| limearbs0xf331…7e96 | Yes | 0 | 11.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 88.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| cedriss0xe086…0450 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.