Market · 2 of 16 outcomes
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x766d…10de | No | 31,626 | 79.7¢ | $26.4K | — |
| Batundi0x9604…fc1d | No | 22,831 | 83.4¢ | $19.1K | Losing−$2.39 per $100 · 175 bets |
| sciuboi0xd6b6…342b | No | 5,724 | 82.5¢ | $4.78K | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 584 bets |
| presspablo0x4c7f…3afb | Yes | 26,742 | 26.0¢ | $4.4K | — |
| superuser8550xa3a1…6893 | Yes | 24,245 | 17.9¢ | $3.99K | — |
| antrax0xde1b…ccc9 | Yes | 22,830 | 24.6¢ | $3.76K | — |
| 0x98fe…ea1e | Yes | 19,815 | 21.2¢ | $3.26K | — |
| SaganArb0x7deb…4607 | Yes | 18,549 | 18.2¢ | $3.05K | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 2,155 | 78.9¢ | $1.8K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x5b91…2709 | No | 2,155 | 78.2¢ | $1.8K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 1,151 bets |
| NERA0x9e9a…5d99 | No | 2,000 | 82.1¢ | $1.67K | Losing−$5.08 per $100 · 508 bets |
| GenaCyberpunk0x816f…ace1 | No | 1,936 | 74.7¢ | $1.62K | New1 settled bet |
| STDgambler0x2e48…95c7 | Yes | 9,592 | 16.2¢ | $1.58K | — |
| borges830xde2f…c805 | Yes | 9,000 | 16.8¢ | $1.48K | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,550 | 81.4¢ | $1.3K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| Giorgio20x9cb9…7b80 | No | 1,000 | 82.0¢ | $836 | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,037 bets |
| eratoxtenex0x0b65…013e | No | 990 | 77.1¢ | $827 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 845 bets |
| aliaspopeye0x8713…196b | Yes | 4,912 | 17.7¢ | $808 | — |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 864 | 84.0¢ | $722 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 816 | 75.5¢ | $682 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| Jujkia0xce08…c8dc | No | 787 | 79.9¢ | $658 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3,985 | 1.7¢ | $656 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| mikedrop0x947e…354c | Yes | 3,334 | 24.7¢ | $548 | — |
| 0xf35c…f6e9 | Yes | 3,000 | 23.0¢ | $494 | — |
| KeDaO0x0ba5…0903 | Yes | 2,914 | 17.7¢ | $479 | — |
| cortezramirez0x681a…db7e | Yes | 2,682 | 18.5¢ | $441 | — |
| cuttlefish690xd95c…d789 | Yes | 2,603 | 17.2¢ | $428 | — |
| TheNobleSavage0xe6f3…2568 | No | 511 | 81.9¢ | $427 | — |
| social.tm0x7eaf…34d1 | No | 500 | 83.0¢ | $418 | — |
| 0x84b9…8880 | No | 500 | 88.1¢ | $418 | — |
| fachifunds0x4046…8036 | Yes | 2,477 | 21.7¢ | $408 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 450 | 78.5¢ | $376 | — |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 2,096 | 20.5¢ | $345 | — |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 400 | 82.9¢ | $334 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| slobber0x4d41…6aca | Yes | 2,024 | 19.7¢ | $333 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 117 bets |
| user2010x1c51…7905 | No | 398 | 83.0¢ | $333 | — |
| 0xec4c…e523 | Yes | 1,952 | 22.2¢ | $321 | — |
| Welostbetting0xc753…5820 | Yes | 1,876 | 22.1¢ | $309 | — |
| 0x3d76…00d5 | Yes | 1,861 | 15.8¢ | $306 | — |
| Asedr0x80c1…3c00 | Yes | 1,721 | 19.5¢ | $283 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 1,703 | 19.6¢ | $280 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| 0x53b8…ba5c | Yes | 1,702 | 25.5¢ | $280 | — |
| 0x5039…946d | No | 328 | 75.6¢ | $274 | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 587 bets |
| migga0x0de7…183c | No | 301 | 81.4¢ | $252 | — |
| OnlyInGodWeTrust0x0785…ecb4 | No | 300 | 82.4¢ | $251 | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 705 bets |
| Juan123456780x0267…7f7e | Yes | 1,500 | 24.6¢ | $247 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 286 | 79.7¢ | $239 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Nobi-Nobita0x24fe…3419 | No | 274 | 75.1¢ | $229 | — |
| grauito0x3057…bf7b | Yes | 1,314 | 21.1¢ | $216 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,314 | 20.8¢ | $216 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | No | 257 | 83.7¢ | $215 | — |
| Wargos0x0822…3106 | Yes | 1,298 | 22.7¢ | $214 | — |
| tusm0xd5ca…bd97 | Yes | 1,284 | 26.9¢ | $211 | — |
| 0x6c64…367d | Yes | 1,257 | 22.8¢ | $207 | — |
| salva-5650x8f95…9d3d | Yes | 1,249 | 22.9¢ | $206 | — |
| 0x2574…144b | No | 244 | 82.7¢ | $204 | — |
| 0x0a18…9078 | No | 236 | 74.5¢ | $197 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 232 | 82.9¢ | $194 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| Bambardigan0xe481…4553 | Yes | 1,106 | 19.0¢ | $182 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,105 | 20.0¢ | $182 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,096 | 1.7¢ | $180 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,250 bets |
| 0xd640…480c | Yes | 1,088 | 17.6¢ | $179 | Losing−$32.74 per $100 · 775 bets |
| janabi900xd6fd…f50b | Yes | 1,057 | 19.5¢ | $174 | — |
| 0x7fbe…0c0c | Yes | 1,021 | 18.8¢ | $168 | — |
| RailayBeach0x0954…1672 | Yes | 1,020 | 17.1¢ | $168 | New41 settled bets |
| Chulee0x225c…40dc | Yes | 1,003 | 18.7¢ | $165 | — |
| fishandchips.0x7ffd…0d91 | Yes | 1,000 | 16.9¢ | $164 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 177 | 75.3¢ | $148 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| alarmac0x927e…f975 | Yes | 861 | 22.2¢ | $142 | — |
| akurate220x0a02…0db6 | Yes | 857 | 23.4¢ | $141 | — |
| 0x0e7d…732b | Yes | 843 | 25.7¢ | $139 | — |
| yagorg1840x4c56…14cc | Yes | 837 | 16.8¢ | $138 | — |
| 0x3b38…85c2 | Yes | 795 | 23.9¢ | $131 | — |
| 0xed5e…3a6d | Yes | 790 | 16.2¢ | $130 | — |
| tobias4k0xd915…e3f7 | Yes | 771 | 21.4¢ | $127 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | No | 150 | 89.3¢ | $125 | — |
| 0xfabada000x7b8b…1ae8 | Yes | 752 | 18.3¢ | $124 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 144 | 83.0¢ | $121 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 0x0a38…f931 | Yes | 720 | 18.3¢ | $118 | — |
| hychizen0x1bb7…ac68 | Yes | 701 | 22.3¢ | $115 | — |
| sartenlimonado0x7409…9639 | Yes | 661 | 19.7¢ | $109 | — |
| Cecco0x0a90…2260 | No | 123 | 82.0¢ | $103 | — |
| zhukov260x3a5a…3427 | No | 110 | 78.9¢ | $92 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 78.0¢ | $84 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| totonnyy0xd2c2…51a9 | No | 84 | 87.3¢ | $70 | — |
| Konfucious0xac76…9359 | No | 69 | 73.8¢ | $58 | — |
| 0x04b6…cf71 | No | 61 | 82.3¢ | $51 | — |
| TylerWaves0x5c17…a609 | No | 61 | 83.2¢ | $51 | — |
| 0f7l492ysa4r30xd15d…7832 | No | 58 | 75.4¢ | $48 | — |
| AAA-Battery0x6c30…a7fc | No | 50 | 81.9¢ | $42 | — |
| Nardo990xbb9f…1893 | No | 50 | 87.0¢ | $42 | — |
| nbs80x786c…dd20 | No | 44 | 76.9¢ | $37 | — |
| tueresalex0xe07b…290a | No | 37 | 75.6¢ | $31 | — |
| outcomes0x03c8…0e01 | No | 33 | 75.8¢ | $28 | Proven+$18.81 per $100 · 882 bets |
| Jabotinsky0x7f96…a226 | No | 31 | 81.2¢ | $26 | — |
| GeorgiiRach0x296a…fb2f | No | 30 | 88.7¢ | $25 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 30 | 84.5¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xb3c7…3ce7 | No | 30 | 84.1¢ | $25 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 25 | 84.5¢ | $21 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
| EliteBetter0x81c9…4a47 | No | 25 | 77.1¢ | $21 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.